And so to New Hampshire where one of the primaries won’t count
Next Tuesday we have the WH2024 primary in New Hampshire which has traditionally been the first state to decide. Unlike Iowa where only the Republicans have their caucus in New Hampshire we have full primaries for both of the main parties. Only problem is that this year whatever. happens in the Democrat primary will have no impact whatsoever on who gets the nomination. Before the campaign started Biden’s party decided that the traditional order of primaries should not be followed…
Rwandan discussions
A market I would love to see is if any migrants actually get sent to Rwanda before the general election I suspect the answer would be zero. What these findings from YouGov show is that public think the policy isn’t effective nor value for money which means even if people are sent to Rwanda it might not be a vote winner. Rishi Sunak appears to have wasted an awful lot of political capital for little reward, this is the sort…
I hope Nadine Dorries is right
This was a headline I never expected to write but we live in interesting but there is one constant in life, Nadine Dorries is usually wrong. I cannot see the Tories (or Labour) ever having a leader from the Lords it is just so impractical, so I consider her suggestion as someone who has never reconciled herself with the fact that Boris Johnson was ousted by Boris Johnson but I can see why Nadine Dorries thinks the Tories may want…
LAB reaches new high in general election betting
Trump moves up in the WH2024 betting after winning the GOP Iowa caucuses
Conflicts of interest
At the heart of most scandals is a conflict of interest, often more than one, which has been allowed to develop, not mitigated or managed, or simply ignored. Being able to recognise these is essential to good public administration. It is essential to good legislation (a header could be written about the policy corruption inherent in governments funding lobby groups to promote policies the government wants, then consulting with only these groups who, unsurprisingly, agree wholeheartedly with the policies suggested….
YouGov/Telegraph mega poll with forecasts for each seat predicts CON disaster
The big political news this morning is a 14k sample megapoll by YouGov for today’s Telegraph with detailed predictions for each of the seats. The outcome is terrible fo Sunak and his party. Check the details out for yourself. Mike Smithson