As conference season begins
The Lib Dem conference starts today and I think the Tory conference will attract a lot of attention with the beauty parade featuring the final four leadership contenders. TSE
Cash will be obsolete within a generation
Like the dodo, Zeppelins, and mullets, cash will end up going the same way. TSE
I’m not sure if this is a good or bad strategy by Trump
Other than Rasmussen all the post debate polls show movement to Harris/Harris ahead so no more debates could help Trump. TSE
Why the Tories lost according to Tory members and the wider public
TSE
If optimism wins elections
But America is a place where going negative in elections is an artform. TSE
How Betfair has reacted to the second round
My logic is most of Mel Stride’s support will go to Tugendhat and Cleverly which could put Badenoch out in the next round (which could happen if Stride’s supports splits evenly between Cleverly and Tugendhat). But if she survives the next round then if Cleverly or Tugendhat go out next, in the fourth round the survivor out of Cleverly and Tugendhat will pick up the other’s support which would then eliminate Badenoch. We will find out next month if I…
Punters and Fox News say Harris won the debate
The betting chart over the last 24 hours shows a sharp movement to Harris since the debate, it isn’t just punters who thought the Vice President who won the debate, even the infamously pro Trump Fox News called the debate for Harris. Watching the debate on delay I thought the other winner from the debate was Nikki Haley whose prediction that the first party to ditch their elderly candidate would win the election as Trump really looked old and bad…
Jenrick is still on top but it’s tight
We have to wait until the week beginning the 7th of October before the next round of voting but I would be very worried if I was Kemi Badenoch because I suspect one of Tom Tugendhat or James Cleverly will get knocked out next and their votes will go to the last man standing out of those two. Given the closeness of the race I cannot see any candidate lending votes to keep Kemi Badenoch out, I think that will…