The by-election nobody wants?
If we do end up with a by-election in this seat following Mike Amesbury’s guilty plea I would expect a Labour hold but on a very low turnout then it is possible we get a surprise but a potential by election could cause problems for Labour, the Tories, and Reform. If the Tories finish a fair distance behind Reform that puts pressure on Kemi Badenoch’s leadership because she cannot stop the leakage to Reform. I do think the the Tories…