An effective ad?
Normally most social media content from political parties make me cringe so hard my size eleven feet shrink to a size six but I liked this one, it’s the soundtrack that makes this content perfect. TSE
A clear majority of Brits think Starmer will unlikely be PM at the end of 2026
This is a stark contrast to the PB predictions competition where 59 out 66 entrants had Starmer as PM on the 31st of December 2026. TSE
The next PM betting market in the last 48 hours
TSE
This was the worst performance by a Scotsman since Italy v Scotland last weekend
Last weekend the Scotland men’s rugby union put in the worst performance against a side from Rome since the Battle of Zama, today’s intervention by Anas Sarwar was similarly bad. All the intervention has done has strengthened Starmer in the short term at least, it just reinforces my view that it is a bloody difficult to remove a sitting Labour leader if they don’t want to go. This was also a good day for all political parties in Scotland who…
By the pricking of my thumbs something wicked this way comes
This Scottish play by Anas Sarwar to try and oust Sir Keir Starmer feels like a tipping point but only if Westminster cabinet members follow or others such as the Welsh First Minster, and metro mayors. Starmer shall never vanquished be until Great Burnham wood to high Dunsinane Hill Shall come against him. I am in meetings for the rest of the afternoon. TSE
One party has form for ousting leaders, the other less so
As I write this it feels like that Sir Keir Starmer is more screwed than Bonnie Blue and that we are approaching the end of his premiership soon but history suggests otherwise. This week (Wednesday in fact) is the fifty-first anniversary of Margaret Thatcher becoming Conservative Party leader, one thing that stands out when studying and betting on leadership elections, the Conservative Pary ‘is an absolute monarchy moderated by regicide’ whereas Labour also has a North Koreanesque loyalty to the…
PB Predictions Competition 2026 – The Entries!
Many thanks to all those who entered the PB Predictions Competition this year. I have tried to capture all the entries with the help of a PB database scan from TSE. The 66 entrants we have found are listed below and every entry is detailed in the linked spreadsheet. If you think you entered and your entry is not listed please Private Message me with the date and time you posted your entry – if can find your valid entry…
Could a Healey or Benn finally lead Labour?
My strategy in this market has generally been to lay Andy Burnham and back long odds bets and I am adding John Healey to that portfolio. He could be the compromise candidate and this has all the hallmarks of being an excellent trading bet. Healey’s done well at Defence, he appears competent which is more than can be said for some of his colleagues. I also think the 33/1 that William Hill are offering on Hilary Benn is worth a…