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Ipsos note A new Ipsos in the UK poll reveals that the British public is slightly more likely to consider Reform UK the main opposition and believe that Nigel Farage is now more likely to become Prime Minister than Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch. This is as dissatisfaction with the Labour government and Prime Minister Keir Starmer remains high I wonder if we would have seen similar polling in 1981/82 about the Alliance/SDP and the two Davids, a reminder insurgent parties…

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I have said for sometime that the Liz Truss interregnum will do for the Tories what the Winter of Discontent did for Labour or Black Wednesday for the Tories, it destroys a political brand for a generation. TSE

I missed these McLaughlin & Associates polls in February but a reminder that some American pollsters are like jockstraps, full of bollocks. John McLaughlin is Donald Trump’s private pollster. We should be grateful for the British Polling Council. TSE

YouGov America have some fascinating polling when it comes to dog/pet owners. As a cat owner/slave to a cat I am delighted to see my fellow cat owners are a net negative when it comes to Trump but what is going on with dog owners? TSE

David Cameron really was exceptional, we may not see his like again, since the turn of the millennium other than David Cameron no Tory leader has served more 38 months. No wonder Ladbrokes make it 2/9 that Badenoch will not make it to the next general election, the Tories really do like ditching their leaders this century. TSE

Readers of Popbitch will be aware of the longstanding discussion over who would win a fight between a badger and a baboon but last week the internet came up with a new variation, who would win a fight between 100 unarmed men and a silverback gorilla. I think the 35% who went for the men are utterly deluded. TSE PS – A baboon would easily beat a badger in a fight and I will entertain no further discussion on this…

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Although as I noted at the time when the next Pope markets went up this was a market to avoid as it was the epitome of an insiders’ market. TSE

As we saw in last week’s by-election every vote matters and if I were a Labour strategist I would be happy with this polling, I suspect plenty on the centre left will vote tactically to keep out Farage and Reform. I think it would be a mistake to lump the centre-left as one homogenous bloc as it would be to lump the Tories and Reform as one bloc too. TSE