The jury’s out
TSE
The challenge for… the Liberal Democrats
This is the midpoint in a series looking at the challenges and opportunities for the 7 main Great Britain parties. Today we will look at the Liberal Democrats and see if they can continue their recent triumphs. Understanding the LD’s success 2024 was the most successful election to date for the LDs in terms of seats won and their ratio of seats to votes was twice as high as their previous best of 2005. Election % of Votes won %…
Hypothetical polls are still bobbins
I am not a fan of hypothetical polling because they have a history of being laughably wrong and I suspect this is another poll to join that list, even though it is good news for my 100/1 tip on Jeremy Corbyn or Zarah Sultana becoming Prime Minister by 2030. The reason why I’ve said Corbyn is a diminished figure from his 2017 apogee was his ratings went into the toilet was his response to the Salisbury poisonings where the public…
The Entente Cordiale
My bold prediction last year was that a second Trump presidency would unite Europe in a way it hasn’t united since the Battle of Waterloo, this poll is another indicator of that happening. I voted in this poll and a longterm Americanophile I voted for France because of my utter disgust at what America has become under Trump. TSE
Sometimes I don’t have to say anything, the image says it all
TSE
Wholly Unacceptable Behaviour
With these words Sir Wyn Williams described the behaviour of individuals at the Post Office and both institutions, behaviour he considered “worthy of condemnation.” In essence, the Post Office demanded money with menaces based on data it knew was not reliable and defrauded its sub-postmasters (“SPMs”) of monies it was never owed. Lawyers, investigators, IT specialists and their managers were at the heart of this behaviour. For 13 years. The later parts of his Report will describe in detail that…
How many Reform MPs on the 31st of December 2025?
When setting the PB 2025 prediction competition one of the questions we thought would be interesting was the number of MPs with the Reform whip on the 31st of December 2025 because Nigel Farage has a long history of falling out with those he works with. So far Nigel Farage has lost 40% of the MPs elected at the last general election* and I think as we approach the next election is can Nigel Farage herd 326+ MPs as government…
Will the Lib Dems win more seats than the Tories?
I am not sure there’s any value in backing either side of this bet (due to the payout timeframe) but it shows the pickle Kemi Badenoch’s Tory party finds itself in that the Lib Dems are just 6/5 to win more seats at the next general election than the Tories. TSE