I am now convinced Badenoch is safe in the short term at least

I am now convinced Badenoch is safe in the short term at least

When it comes making successful political predictions the only rival Nadine Dorries has is Sion Simon so when I saw her prediction today I am now certain Kemi Badenoch will be Tory leader for a while yet. Nadine Dorries has made outlandish predictions in the past, such as David Cameron succeeding Sunak after the election being just one example. The 8.33% return in just over four months Ladbrokes are offering is worth backing in my humble opinion, I do expect…

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Could the Tories have their sixth leader in six years?

Could the Tories have their sixth leader in six years?

I’m with Keiran Pedley, however as we can see since the Tories changed their leadership rules, only David Cameron served for more than 38 months, he truly was an exception, the Tory party should go back to those strong and stable years but I don’t think they have a David Cameron in the current parliamentary party. TSE

Champagne socialism

Champagne socialism

It is clear that somebody has it in for Rachel Reeves and the story about her CV and her past conduct continues to snowball, the allegations made in today’s Times newspaper is a new addition to the allegations against her. For the first time I genuinely think she might be in trouble as the comments by her spokesman when these allegations were put to them didn’t contain an outright denial, although I may well be over parsing these comments A…

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The long term economic plan

The long term economic plan

This explains why Labour are generally ahead of the Tories in the voting intention figures. TSE Site notice – I am beginning a short holiday today and blogging will be light over the next few days.

This morning I said Rachel Reeves was safe in the forthcoming reshuffle

This morning I said Rachel Reeves was safe in the forthcoming reshuffle

With my usual impeccable timing this morning I wrote a piece based on The I newspaper’s article that Rachel Reeves was safe in the forthcoming reshuffle, a few hours later as we can see with the screenshot above from the BBC News website that may be a dubious prediction. Having read the articles I think with Rachel Reeves there’s no smoking gun, the stories are embarrassing but not a resigning matter, but if these types of stories become more numerous…

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Reshuffle talk is in the air but Reeves is safe but not Phillipson

Reshuffle talk is in the air but Reeves is safe but not Phillipson

It’s not been an entirely auspicious start for Starmer’s government and a reshuffle might achieve a reset. It is no surprise that Bridget Phillipson and Lord Hermer are llkely to be moved on, the former for her poor handling of the inevitable consequences of adding VAT to private school fees mid academic year and other assorted problems at the DfE. Lord Hermer is no surprise for the way the Chagos Island deal has been handled, he is proving to be…

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