Farage remains the favourite to be the next PM

Farage remains the favourite to be the next PM

On Betfair Nigel Farage remains the favourite to succeed Sir Keir Starmer as our next Prime Minister. I still think this is one of the greatest lays in betting history for the reasons I have indicated before.The value remains with the likes of Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and other Labour cabinet ministers. TSE

How the general election would have looked under different voting systems

How the general election would have looked under different voting systems

The Electoral Reform Society have modelled how July’s election would have looked under different voting systems, as we can see First Past The Post really flattered Labour. Regretfully they didn’t model using the Alternative Vote which seems a mistake considering Labour uses AV to elect their leaders and the Tories use a form of quasi-AV (the exhaustive ballot) to elect their leaders. Some key stats from the election are The key stats for me is ‘344 seats, out of the…

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Some 2025 specials

Some 2025 specials

Ladbrokes have a 2025 specials market up and to be honest this appears a good way to contribute to the Ladbrokes bonus fund. If I had to pick I’d go for the 20/1 on the zero by elections and maybe the 6/1 on 1 to 2 by-elections in 2025. TSE

The disconnect between the betting markets

The disconnect between the betting markets

Over the last few days I’ve highlighted how Nigel Farage has become the favourite to be the next Prime Minister which I felt was wrong on a number of levels and the most seats betting market is further proof. The only way I could see Farage becoming Prime Minister after the next general election is if Reform won the most seats (I cannot see if he finished second behind the Tories then the Tories making him PM for example). If…

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Braverman set to defect to Reform (no, not that one, yet)

Braverman set to defect to Reform (no, not that one, yet)

Like many I expect Suella Braverman to defect to Reform at some point in the next few months. I try and see the best in people but I consider Braverman a ghastly person and eve ghastlier politician, the sort of person who would switch off somebody’s life support machine just to charge her phone so she could Tweet something political/on the culture wars. If Suella Braverman did defect it would be no great loss to the Tory Party (just look…

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