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Author: TSE

Life after Starmer

Life after Starmer

It strikes me that this poll reflects the dearth of talent in the current Labour cabinet and party, there’s no clear choice within the parliamentary party. I could see Andy Burnham entering parliament at the next election and succeeding Starmer after the next election but that would have to see him not contest the 2028 Greater Manchester mayoralty. TSE

Rhetoric meets reality. What will Reform voters make of this?

Rhetoric meets reality. What will Reform voters make of this?

I’ve always defined populism as saying complex problems have really easy and simple solutions which neatly brings us onto Reform and the leader of Kent council. What a time to be alive, Reform wants more migrant visas and a Labour government wants to issue fewer visas. The fracturing on the populist right is widening thanks to this and Rupert Lowe is taking full full advantage. How will Reform voters react to this? TSE

Don’t believe the hype

Don’t believe the hype

Several pollsters have polls out showing a party led by Corbyn/Sultana doing well well and Find Out Now have joined the list but as we can see in 2019 a similar hypothetical poll about the The Independent Group/Change UK turned out to be bobbins as is the way with hypothetical polls like this. REPEAT AFTER ME, HYPOTHETICAL POLLS HAVE AN IGNOMINIOUS HISTORY. TSE

You can’t handle the truth. Honesty is Starmer’s only advantage over Farage

You can’t handle the truth. Honesty is Starmer’s only advantage over Farage

The Telegraph are reporting that Voters believe Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, is better than Sir Keir Starmer in almost every respect but is less honest than him, according to a poll. Mr Farage is seen as being more in touch with ordinary people, paying greater attention to detail and being a stronger leader than the Prime Minister. A new survey by Ipsos asked respondents whether they felt certain positive characteristics applied to Sir Keir, Mr Farage or Kemi Badenoch, the Tory…

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Kemi Badenoch isn’t very effective

Kemi Badenoch isn’t very effective

My expectation is that at some point in 2026 Kemi Badenoch will be replaced as Tory leader by Robert Jenrick and one of the reasons is Robert Jenrick can set the agenda in a way Badenoch cannot, such as his focus on fare evaders. I have said the current government is in office but not in power, a similar mot juste can be applied to the current leader leader of the opposition as we can see in the above polling,…

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