TSE – politicalbetting.com

Where will Trump be on Midday of inauguration day?

17/1/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Who would have thought Donald Trump, a man in his 70s, could maintain an election for over two months but even Trump has now bowed to the inevitable and realised not even inciting an insurrection will stop Joe Biden becoming President on Wednesday. The sore loser that Trump is means he has already said he won’t be attending Biden’s inauguration and the reports are that on the morning of the inauguration Trump will head to his Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm…

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Is Donald Trump the electoral behemoth his congressional allies think he is?

10/1/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

As I started looking at betting on the 2022 and 2024 American elections I thought I’d look at Donald Trump’s performances in 2016 and 2020 and see if he might be a help or a hindrance for the GOP going forward purely in electoral terms. As we can see Trump has the two of the three lowest shares of the vote this millennium for the GOP. In defence of Trump, the GOP have only won the popular vote once in…

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After a quick & successful vaccine rollout, this is the second most thing I want to see in 2021

3/1/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

On New Year’s Eve The Spectator dropped a very interesting story. As many hospitals struggle to cope with a surge of Covid-19 patients, the most important judgement yet to be made about 2020 is how much difference it would have made had England been pre-emptively locked down in September. This is not an academic question. Because there were two separate occasions in September when the prime minister’s political and scientific advisers urged him to impose tough national restrictions and suppress…

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A Trump branded TV channel being by the end of next month?

6/12/2020 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I expect on the day of Biden’s inauguration Trump will do something spectacular, whilst I wouldn’t rule out Trump nuking Iran just before power transfers to Biden, I do expect something political. One of these things might be Trump announcing his intention to run for the GOP nomination in 2024 but if he might (also) announce plans for a Trump television channel. You can imagine Trump ranting about the fake news, lamestream media that hasn’t investigated Biden’s cheating, so that’s…

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Sitting Priti or Priti Vacant. Will Priti Patel still be in the cabinet on the 1st of March 2021?

29/11/2020 TSE Comments 0 Comment

These types of markets on whether X will still be in the cabinet on certain date is the sort of market I much prefer over next out of the cabinet markets because of the dead heat rules the value can be extinguished. So will Patel be in the cabinet on the 1st of March 2021? After his backing of Priti Patel after the report into her bullying across more than one department you’d think she was safe but I was…

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Why I’m laying Marcus Rashford for Sports Personality Of The Year

22/11/2020 TSE Comments 0 Comment

At Cornell University they have the world’s most powerful microscope called the transmission electron microscope, this microscope is so powerful that you can actually see images of the atom, the infinitesimally minute building blocks of our universe. You could use this microscope on some of the past winners of Sports Personality Of The Year and you still not find any personality in them. Yes I’m looking at some past winners like, inter alia, Brits Nigel Mansell and Sir Andrew Murray,…

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