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The politician with the least self awareness is Liz Truss who after her disastrous 49 day tenure as Prime Minister thought she might still have a major role in the Tory party but she now has a rival in Angela Rayner. My view is that you cannot go from having to resign in disgrace over your tax affairs to running for Prime Minister particularly if I expect Labour will focus on Nigel Farage’s probity and financial affairs at the next…

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I suspect we will have to wait until next year’s primaries and November elections to see who has won this particular battle. I suspect Trump will become rather more volatile if the Epstein files are realised, I am not sure why the self confessed pussy grabber is worried. This might be good news for my 140/1 tip on MTG winning the presidency in 2028. TSE

Sir Keir Starmer is a man so passionless that he could send a glass eye to sleep (that isn’t a criticism, sometimes we need boring in our lives. I wonder if Wes Streeting passion/anger here might appeal to Labour MPs and the country. TSE

As an evil capitalist pig-dog I have never been worried about the far left taking power in this country because they always end up engaging in factionalism and never getting anything done. Your Party just confirm my views, not since the SNP motorhome story has a political story amused me this much, we will live in a world where some people think Jeremy Corbyn is a Zionist. Labour and Zack Polanski will be similarly amused at such fun inside Your…

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Ladbrokes have a market up on who will the most seats out of Labour and the Greens at the next general election, my initial thought is that I’m not backing either side. You would need to put couple of zeros at the end of the Green price and I’d probably be interested, whilst we see some polls have the Greens ahead of Labour I suspect under the campaign lights the Green policy platform would wilt. My expectation is that if…

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About twenty years ago Mike Smithson used to point out that David Cameron consistently polled much better than the Tory Party, that was pretty much true for the entire decade Cameron led the Tory party and it is something I have always tracked for party leaders. As we can see with the polling from YouGov Labour are polling 19% but 27% want Starmer to remain Labour leader which should give Labour MPs who are thinking of replacing Starmer as any…

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This usually is a market where laying the favourite is profitable but in this instance I am not so sure given the clown car comedy act Starmer’s premiership has become. I have been advising laying Nigel Farage in this market for months because if Starmer goes before the general election then his replacement will be from the Labour party. TSE

Last night my phone starting pinging like mad with news alerts from various news apps I have on my phone about Sir Keir Starmer facing a leadership within the next few weeks. Historically it is very difficult to replace a sitting Labour leader, 172 Labour MPs out of 232 MPs voted to say they had no confidence in Jeremy Corbyn but he remained in place. My only betting strategy in light of this news is to keep on laying Andy…

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