Browsed by
Author: TSE

Reform, no joy just division. Will Lowe tear us apart?

Reform, no joy just division. Will Lowe tear us apart?

I am no fan of Rupert Lowe but everybody with a sense of decency will be delighted for him today. I noted at the time of his suspension that timing felt odd, on Thursday he criticised Nigel Farage publicly and the next day he had the whip removed over these allegations. Now that he has been vindicated I expect Lowe’s libel action against Farage, Lee Anderson, and Zia Yusuf will now accelerate which will cause problems for them, this is…

Read More Read More

Why Boris Johnson is not the answer

Why Boris Johnson is not the answer

Last week More In Common published a poll that said if Boris Johnson became Tory leader he would turn a 8 point lead for Reform into a 3 point lead for the Tories. Longstanding readers of PB know my view about multilevel hypothetical polls, they are the Hawaiian pizzas of opinion polls and they should be rejected by right thinking people everywhere as I explained here. If Boris Johnson became Tory leader again then Nigel Farage would use the stats…

Read More Read More

From penumbra to umbra?

From penumbra to umbra?

Ipsos note A new Ipsos in the UK poll reveals that the British public is slightly more likely to consider Reform UK the main opposition and believe that Nigel Farage is now more likely to become Prime Minister than Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch. This is as dissatisfaction with the Labour government and Prime Minister Keir Starmer remains high I wonder if we would have seen similar polling in 1981/82 about the Alliance/SDP and the two Davids, a reminder insurgent parties…

Read More Read More

In February 2025 Trump had a 99% approval rating

In February 2025 Trump had a 99% approval rating

I missed these McLaughlin & Associates polls in February but a reminder that some American pollsters are like jockstraps, full of bollocks. John McLaughlin is Donald Trump’s private pollster. We should be grateful for the British Polling Council. TSE

America is going to the dogs

America is going to the dogs

YouGov America have some fascinating polling when it comes to dog/pet owners. As a cat owner/slave to a cat I am delighted to see my fellow cat owners are a net negative when it comes to Trump but what is going on with dog owners? TSE

Recent history suggests Badenoch will not make it to the general election

Recent history suggests Badenoch will not make it to the general election

David Cameron really was exceptional, we may not see his like again, since the turn of the millennium other than David Cameron no Tory leader has served more 38 months. No wonder Ladbrokes make it 2/9 that Badenoch will not make it to the next general election, the Tories really do like ditching their leaders this century. TSE