I still maintain Nigel Farage is a lay in this market as this market is not the Prime Minister after the general election market. I wonder if there could be value in backing Andy Burnham now since there is talk about him returning to Westminster, he polls well with the public, better than Rayner, Streeting, and Starmer do. As for the price on Rupert Lowe, I cannot think why his implied chance is at 5% rather than 0.0005% chance it…
The best thing Coldplay have ever done is their recent exposing of a cheating couple at one of the concerts which leads to this recent finding from MoreInCommon. What is it about Reform & Green voters that makes them both cheaters and cheated upon? I think the stigma around being a cheater has changed, over twenty years ago my mother was scandalised when she found out that I had been named co-respondent in two divorce proceedings before my 26th birthday…
This is no criticism of YouGov but more a coment on the irrelevance of Kemi Badenoch as YouGov didn’t feel the need to poll these questions about Kemi Badenoch. TSE
As the grandson of humble immigrants to this country my grandfather never quite got his head around the obsession people in this country had with this class despite him automatically becoming a member of the middle class due to him being a doctor. I never have quite understood class in this country either, I mean how on earth is Posh Spice classed as Posh? We saw with David Cameron, being a posho isn’t really a hindrance to winning general elections….
The first meeting of the invoking the 25th Amendment committee? TSE
Nigel Farage is very astute in having nothing to do with people who were in the BNP and pro Tommy Robinson.c Farage knows if his party becomes associated with street violence then his polling will crater so this polling intrigues me. On so many issues, such as Ukraine and Donald Trump Reform voters aren’t really in line with the rest of the country and this poll is another example of that but it could harm Farage if he has to…
Today is the eightieth anniversary of the bombing of Hiroshima and there’s plenty of discussion of whether the bombings were justified. For me this is the perfect of example of life giving not good or bad options but least worst options. Harry Truman who I consider a good man was faced with a difficult decision. Operation Downfall, the plan to invade Japan, would have seen a much bigger seaborne operation than D-Day which remains to this day the largest seaborne…
Like the Welsh rugby union team the fortunes of Welsh Labour are going sub-optimally and it is possible that at next year’s Senedd election Labour finish third which would be quite revelation in a part of Britain where the old joke was that they didn’t count Labour votes but weighed them. Back in the first devolved elections in 1999 in combined vote shares Plaid Cymru did better than the SNP but the SNP took power at Holyrood over 18 years…