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Author: TSE

London Tories recognise the damage Lee Anderson is causing them, will the wider party?

London Tories recognise the damage Lee Anderson is causing them, will the wider party?

Former Labour councillor turned Tory MP Lee Anderson may rival Liz Truss as the greatest political sleeper agent this century. London Tories have realised the damage he is causing them the way they are publicly repudiating his divisive rhetoric. Sadly Ladbrokes have pulled their market on this year’s London Mayoral election having the widest margin of victory. As we can see above the attempts to smear Sadiq Khan fail badly. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sadiq Khan instruct m’learned…

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Why we are unikely to see a 1992 redux

Why we are unikely to see a 1992 redux

Tory MPs are deluding themselves if they think we are heading for a 1992 redux (or indeed 2015 redux). I can only hope they are willing to back up their convictions over on the Betfair exchange. TSE

Let us all talk about our first time

Let us all talk about our first time

With the likelihood of having an election this year my mind went to think about the first general election I followed, which was 1992. As a callow thirteen year old I had Conservative leanings another thing that interested the geek in me was the statistics associated with a general election. What added to the excitement was the dawning realisation that the result was going against expectations, something we saw again in 2015 and 2017. I do not expect a repeat…

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The warning signs are there for the GOP for November’s election

The warning signs are there for the GOP for November’s election

I feel confident that the insurrectionist former President will lose the Presidential election based on the available information and precedents. Last night’s South Carolina primary reinforced that, particularly the way Independents are breaking. There’s a been a real pattern over the last few years that the GOP do worse than the opinion polls suggests whilst inevitably the Dems do better. TSE

Could we see Reform poll higher than the Tories before the election in an opinion poll?

Could we see Reform poll higher than the Tories before the election in an opinion poll?

With the news that the political gadfly Lee Anderson has been suspended from the Tory party, not for his comments, but for his inability to apologise I wonder if Reform are about to get their first MP. In November Lee Anderson admitted that he was offered ‘a lot of money’ to join Reform UK, the then Tory deputy chairman was secretly taped claiming that the party Farage built is tapping up MPs amid accusations of £430,000 ‘bribes’ to defect. Prior…

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The problems with having two massive elections at the same time

The problems with having two massive elections at the same time

My expectation is that Sunak will call the general election later on this year which will mean there is a strong likelihood that the US Presidential election and UK general elections will take place within weeks, if not days, of each other which risks in the UK the two elections getting interlinked. Liz Truss isn’t the first Tory to publicly endorse Donald Trump for President and I expect quite a few others will and effectively kiss the ring of Donald…

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