Remember the rules have changed for the London Mayoral election

Remember the rules have changed for the London Mayoral election

A chance for the Tories? Next May Labour’s Sadiq Khan will be seeking to defend his position as Mayor of London – a post that was first contested in May 2000. What we haven’t seen is any real analysis of the rule changes for these elections bought in by Johnson for Mayoral elections which I believe could make a significant difference to the outcome. He was of course the first Tory to hold this position from 2008 to 2016. When…

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Rishi Sunak’s chopper is going to get him into a lot of trouble

Rishi Sunak’s chopper is going to get him into a lot of trouble

Rishi Sunak’s use of helicopters is an issue that really shouldn’t matter in normal circumstances however Sunak’s handling over the issue is proving to be a problem. Watch the video above and listen to a recent interaction between Sunak and a journalist over the use of helicopters. Sunak, not for the first time, sounds very petulant and arrogant. During the white heat of a general election campaign Sunak will come under more scrutiny on more serious subjects and he needs…

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Stopping the boats, Sunak’s Maginot Line?

Stopping the boats, Sunak’s Maginot Line?

Nothing reminds me more of how Rishi Sunak lost to Liz Truss than Sunak’s utter failure on dealing with the Channel crossings. This is a battle Sunak is losing quite badly and publicly. Sunak’s stop the boats pledge, like the Maginot Line, was designed to reassure a country about it’s safety and security, but had a huge flaw. Not only is it the failure to stop the crossings, it is the resultant calamities such as the Legionella outbreak on the…

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New poll has big majority for rejoin

New poll has big majority for rejoin

Could overturning Brexit become a serious campaign? This latest poll from Omnius is in line with other recent polls that we have seen when voters are asked whether they would vote to rejoin the EU if given the opportunity. The problem for those wanting to get back into Europe is that it is hard to see either of the main political parties taking this on board. Clearly the Tories are the main party for Leave and look set to pay…

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Biden now a 40% betting chance of winning WH2

Biden now a 40% betting chance of winning WH2

But is he really going to stand given his age – 80? By far the biggest betting market over the next fifteen months will be the one above – who is going to win WH2024 and as can be seen from the chart Biden is now a 40% chance. There have been some reports however that he might stand aside before the primaries start because of his age. There’s little doubt that the Republicans will make this a key part…

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The NHS waiting list reaches new high

The NHS waiting list reaches new high

Sunak’s failure will cost his party dear for years to come The big NHS news this afternoon is that the NHS waiting list in England is now almost at 8m – the highest level yet. This is a figure that needs to be going down sharply if the Tories are to convince voters that the NHS is indeed safe in their hands. What infuriates me and I am sure many others is the way Sunak always responds when pressed on…

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LAB odds on to gain Rutherglen and the LDs Mid-Beds

LAB odds on to gain Rutherglen and the LDs Mid-Beds

It is early days so far in the Rutherglen by-election but punters have already made their minds up – Labour is the very tight odds on favorite to take the seat from the SNP. Certainly, there has been a very big move to LAB from the SNP in recent Scottish polls the latest of which has the party just 2% behind In the other possible by-election, Mid-Bedfordshire, the Lib Dems are odds on favourite to gain the seat. There is…

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