Apologising for the Liz Truss mishanter

Apologising for the Liz Truss mishanter

The Tory party are correct for apologising the Liz Truss premiership which in terms of disasters was the equivalent of The Hindenburg meets Chernobyl meets the fall of Singapore meets the Welsh men’s rugby union team’s performance over the last 18 months or so as they lost 17 matches in a row. Whilst Liz Truss might be feeling like Stalin being denounced by her successors such as was with the not very The Secret Speech if the Tories are to…

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London 2028 and beyond

London 2028 and beyond

The next London mayoral election is scheduled to take place in 2028 and under first past the post anything could happen, it is entirely possible the winning candidate polls sub 20% as the centre-left vote fractures. I cannot see any value here other than say a cheeky tenner on Jeremy Corbyn at 20/1 or Ant Middleton at 12/1. TSE PS – It might be in Labour’s interest to lose the London mayoral election to the Tories or Reform on a…

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In office but not in power

In office but not in power

A former special adviser once observed to me one of the main advantages of being in government is that you get to set the agenda in a way no other party can, they likened it to winning the toss in every cricket match or having first serve in every game of tennis but Sir Keir Starmer appears not to have learned this lesson yet. No wonder the public thinks Reform are setting the agenda and until Starmer can change the…

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By-election betting

By-election betting

We have the Hamilton, Larkhall, and Stonehouse by-election on Thursday, in 2021 the SNP polled 46.2% in this constituency but things are different today with the surge of Reform and whilst the SNP lead in the polls it isn’t impressive as it was in 2021. That said I think the value might be the 16/1 on them polling between 45% and 50% with Ladbrokes because they are appealing for tactical votes and it might work this time against a Farage…

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Cakeism is alive and well

Cakeism is alive and well

This polling reminds me why I am glad I didn’t become a politician. The public want champagne and caviar but want to pay Tesco meal deal prices. TSE