Coalition still supported by two in three

Coalition still supported by two in three

Comments 0 Comment

“Approve or disapprove of the government” Approve Disapprove All voters 44% 24% Tory voters 79% 7% Labour voters 14% 39% LD voters 50% 19% “Support or oppose the coalition?” Support Oppose All voters 60% 30% Tory voters 86% 12% Labour voters 25% 62% LD voters 73% 17% But will it change after the cuts package? New YouGov polling data suggests that support for the coalition continues. Interestingly the figures above are broken down into what respondents said they did at…

Read More Read More

It’s now down to five

It’s now down to five

Comments 0 Comment

SkyNews Can Diane make it to 33 by 12.30pm? As he had always said he would if he thought his withdrawal would help get a woman contender onto the ballot John McDonnell has quit the Labour race thus releasing those who have nominated to support other candidates. Whether all those who had gone with McDonnell will follow his lead we will have to see – but it’s looking likely that a total of five will have reached the 33 total…

Read More Read More

It’s final nominations day in Labour’s election?

It’s final nominations day in Labour’s election?

Comments 0 Comment

Will it be a four, five or six horse race? Today marks the final scramble for the three remaining Labour hopefuls who have yet to make the cut to secure the required 33 nominations from fellow MPs. Andy Burnham is just two off and looks a near certainty. John McDonnell has sixteen so might struggle – though will he be helped or hindered by his regret at not murdering Mrs. Thatcher in the 1980s? Judging by the reception he got…

Read More Read More

Did anybody make money on Deputy PM Clegg?

Did anybody make money on Deputy PM Clegg?

Comments 0 Comment

The market where the bookie didn’t have to pay out a penny The appointment of Nick Clegg as Deputy PM means that the curtain has finally closed on a betting matter that has seen quite a lot of political punters losing a fair bit of money. It is also a timely reminder to look at the close detail of any bets you are entering into. For in the months after the 2005 election William Hill opened a market on who…

Read More Read More

How much does Maggie still dominate our politics?

How much does Maggie still dominate our politics?

Comments 0 Comment

Does McDonnell’s assassination call still resonate? I’ve just picked up on the John McDonnell clip at yesterday’s hustings when he said he’d wished that he’d assassinated Mrs. Thatcher during the 80s. What I found striking was the reaction of his audience – trade union delegates who gave it the biggest applause of the day. But it does raise the question of Maggie’s legacy. Is this a positive for Labour, as McDonnell seems to think, or has it been neutralised by…

Read More Read More

Could Labour decide that it really wants a bruiser?

Could Labour decide that it really wants a bruiser?

Comments 0 Comment

Why I’d be backing Balls if I was Labour There’s been a lot of attention on Ed Balls over the past couple of days as nominations for the Labour leadership are about to close and the race proper will begin. The shadow schools’ secretary had a good appearance on the Politics Show on Sunday and had to miss the first hustings because it was education question yesterday in the commons. The big news from the former was his readiness to…

Read More Read More

Do these numbers explode the Telegraph’s UKIP myth?

Do these numbers explode the Telegraph’s UKIP myth?

Comments 0 Comment

Correlations between changes in vote share CON LAB LD NAT UKIP LAB -0.29 LD -0.27 –0.52 NAT –0.38 0.19 -0.56 UKIP 0.05 -0.13 0.07 0.03 BNP -0.01 -0.27 0.04 -0.40 -0.13 Did the anti-EU party hurt Labour most? A couple of weeks ago the Telegraph writer, Gerald Warner, claiming the psephological science was on his side, asserted that UKIP had cost the Tories 21 seats on May 6th. He wrote:”..Detailed examination of the election results reveals that UKIP deprived the…

Read More Read More