Latest voting intention CON-May 6 LAB-May 6 LD-May 6 Conservative 83% 2% 6% Labour 1% 80% 15% Lib Dem 2% 2% 54% UKIP – 1% 1% Greens 1% 1% 3% BNP – – 3% Would not vote 3% 2% 2% Won’t say/don’t know 10% 12% 18% Some data from Ashcroft’s 6,000 sample Populus poll The above table showing current voting intention linked to what respondents said they did at the election is from the 6,000 sample Populus poll of marginals…
Guardian Have the figures been published inadvertently? My understanding is that the Guardian might be holding over its latest ICM poll because of its Afgan leaks coverage but thanks to Tim on the previous thread we can make a good guess at the numbers anyway. For it appears that the latest numbers, based on polling over the weekend, are included on the interactive graphic which I’ve reproduced above. Last time, nearly five weeks ago, it was C39-L31-LD21 – and from…
The Iraq War – Legal or illegal? ALL CON LAB LD Legal 24 21 39 12 Illegal 47 52 35 64 Don’t know 29 27 25 24 According to the data from the Sunday Times YouGov poll, just published the above was the response to a question on the legality of the 2003 invasion of Iraq. As can be seen there’s a sharp divide between party supporters. The precise question was: “On Wednesday the Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg described…
What now for the man who walked across Afghanistan? One of the developing stories this afternoon is a grovelling apology to his constituents from the new MP who is fifth favourite to become next Tory leader. Ex-army officer, diplomat, old Etonian and alum of Balliol College Oxford, Rory Stewart has had one write-up after another since winning the Penrith and Borders seat at the election. Unfortunately in one of the latest, an interview with the Scottish Sun, he’s gone a…
Is this the leader that Labour should have chosen? Earlier in the month on BBC1’s “This Week” Ed Balls revealed that if his wife, the former Work and Pensions Secretary, Yvette Cooper, had wanted to run for the Labour leadership then he would have stood aside for her. So I wonder how the couple will feel when, later today, UNITE the biggest union with nearly a million potential voters in this leadership race, announces formally that Ed Miliband is being…
Wikimedia Commons Me from Brazil looks at this autumn’s presidential election It’s been over a year since Dan Hamilton wrote an amazing article about the presidential election in Brazil. It has been a boring campaign until about a month ago, but considering that the Constitution does not allow any kind of campaign at this point, it’s understandable that things are a bit slow. Lula and his candidate, Dilma Rousseff, are now firmly favourite. Her alliance is broader than José Serra’s,…
Does DaveM want to tie his hands on his shadow cabinet? Following yesterday’s overwhelming decision by the UNITE union’s national policy committee to endorse Ed Miliband for the leadership the focus has turned to Ed Balls and his continuation in the contest. Without the backing of the biggest union and the one he’s been most associated with it’s hard to see how he can clinch the prize at the end of September. Would a better course now be to pull…
It’s 24-4-4 from UNITE’s political committee The younger Miliband brother has moved a step nearer to securing a big vote in the trade union section of Labour’s leadership election following the decision of the political committee of UNITE to recommend that he be given the endorsement. The final decision will be taken on Monday. He’s already got the GMB and UNISON in the bag. What’s remarkable is not just today’s outcome but the scale of the vote. It’s understood the…