Continuation thread …
I’ve put up this continuation thread following Mike’s comment on the last thread that he was having trouble posting. please continue the discussion here … David Herdson
Is Labour’s return next time almost a foregone conclusion?
Guardian What do we think of Polly’s election prediction? Although the next general election might not take place until May 2015 there’s what amounts to a big prediction by Guardian columnist, Polly Toynbee, in the paper this morning. Talking about a “red carpet of opportunity” awaiting Labour she declares that “Cameron will be doomed by his cuts and Clegg by his betrayal.” In fact Polly is so confident is about what’s going to happen that she’s now referring to “Labour…
Does Farron add a new dimension in the Yellow-Red war?
Has he become the party’s attack dog? I must admit to have not been a fan of Tim Farron – the newly elected President of the Lib Dems and one of the leading opponents in his party in the university fees vote. But his fierce response to Ed Miliband’s overtures to the yellow this morning suggests that we are going to see a very different tone. And because he’s seen as from the left of the party he’s in a…
Did the Ashcroft polling find goodish news for the yellows?
Could LD “considerers” from May make up some of the losses? I am very tied up with personal matters at the moment and have not had the time to examine either of the two Michael Ashcroft polls on the Lib Dems. One survey, by Populus, highlighted what we have seen from other polling – a big loss in support from those who said they voted for Clegg’s party on May 6th. A parallel survey was amongst what were terms “Lib…
Are people really against high taxes and locking up criminals?
The 50% tax rate The 50% tax rate for those earning £150k +? (YouGov) All sampled CON voters LAB voters LD voters The 50% top rate of tax should be made permanent 37 23 53 42 The 50% top rate of tax should eventually be brought back down to 40 46 60 37 45 Neither 6 9 2 4 Penal policy Penal policy – which best reflects your view? (YouGov) All sampled CON voters LAB voters LD voters Prison works,…
Could Ed campaign alongside Nick for a YES to AV?
Jonathan on the impact of the Labour YES campaign? Labour’s YES campaign for the AV referendum kicked off on Wednesday with a letter in the Guardian. Around 50 figures from across the party declared that “first past the post isn’t working†and that “it’s time for changeâ€. It was a bold, unambiguous statement in favour of reform. What implications does it have for Labour, May’s result and politics generally? Labour has been facing a dilemma. Despite the 2010 manifesto pledge…
The leadership ratings after a polarising week
David Cameron David Cameron “doing well/badly†(YouGov) All (last week) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 47 (-2) 96 9 81 Badly 45 (+1) 4 87 16 Ed Miliband Ed Miliband “doing well/badly†(YouGov) All (last week) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 29 (+1) 13 62 17 Badly 44 (nc) 61 21 51 Nick Clegg Nick Clegg “doing well/badly†(YouGov) All (last week) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 31 (-1) 65 5 75 Badly 60…
Now all pollsters are showing a Labour lead
Latest PAPA Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % GE accuracy ranking ICM/Guardian 21/11/10 36 38 14 2= Populus/Times 24/10/10 2= Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 14/11/10 36 39 14 2= ComRes/Independent 29/11/10 36 40 12 5= YouGov/Sun 11/12/10 40 42 9 8 Angus Reid/Politicalbetting 29/11/10 35 40 13 9= ***PAPA*** LATEST 36.6 39.8 12.4 – And the LDs back to single figures with YouGov For nearly a fortnight the YouGov daily poll has had the Tories equal or ahead…