On Monday PB featured the first part part of the above chart showing the change in the numbers of Labour candidates fielded at local elections going back to 1991. Harriet Harman was saying last month that she was hoping that the total they’d have standing would be a thirty year high. I’ve not yet seen an overall computation but returning to Devon we see there has been in an increase in all the councils – but the party is still…
The latest YouGov “blame game” tracker is out and shows a slight improvement for Labour with the gap at 15 points. Every two weeks YouGov panellists are asked the same question on which is most responsible for the spending cuts. As can be seen Labour has continued to attract substantially more blame than the coalition though the situation is a lot better than it was last June. But things have remained fairly static since November. This is one regular non-voting…
There’s an exhibition currently going on of many of Marf’s PB cartoons at the Guildhall Gallery in the City of London. Marf herself will be there from mid-afternoon on Monday April 18th 2011 ahead of the PB party that evening at the Dirty Dicks pub opposite Liverpool Street station. Mike Smithson
Online polls rule. OK? Online polls are taking over the UK polling industry. So far in 2011 no less than 96 vote intention polls have been published, 84 of which have been conducted online, just 12 by telephone. Of the 84 online polls 63 (and counting …) have been conducted by YouGov, 21 by others. On average, telephone polls have had the Conservatives and Labour each around 1.5% lower than online polls and perhaps most significantly for the tone of…
Why are so many being given a free ride? We’ll have to wait until the official lists are published tomorrow but the big trend developing overnight in the May 5th local elections is that hundreds of seats are not being contested. There’s been one comment after another like these on last night’s threads:- Middle Englander:” Wychavon, Worcestershire: 45 seat council 12 Conservatives returned unopposed and 3 assured compared to just 2 assured in 2007 1 Lib Dem returned unopposed, the…
Now something for the NO campaigners to smile about A new Populus poll for the Times just out has a YES 47% to NO 53% split amongst decided voters. (NOTE that in line with PB practice the figure were use are re-percentaged so proper comparison can be made with other surveys.) This will come as a blow to the YES camp just after a YouGov poll suggested that opinion was moving in the other direction. As yet we have not…
Latest AV referendum polls using the question that’s on the ballot Date YES % NO % Methodology note – all figures re-percentaged to show decided voters only YouGov/Sun Times 01/04/11 52 (+1) 48 (-1) Findings weighted according to likelihood to vote. Comparisons are with last poll on March 18. Politically weighted via party ID and newspaper type. Angus Reid/ 20/03/11 51 (-4) 49 (+4) No turnout weighting. Comparison with last poll for AR on March 3. Politically weighted via past…
Could a big increase be good news for the blues? At midday nominations closed for the council elections that will take place in most of England on May 5th When they are published we’ll get our first indicators of how Labour is approaching the coming fight and also about the current health of the party. Harriet Harman’s goal is that the red team will have more candidates for up to 30 years. The chart above shows what’s happened in five…