And NO increases its lead on AV Tonight’s ComRes online poll for the Indy on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror is out and shows that all three main parties have seen a decline in support since the last comparable poll in March. The shares are CON 35: LAB 39: LD 10: OTH 16 The ComRes phone polls are treated as a separate polling series from the phone surveys. We have not seen the detailed data yet but others have moved…
Or could it still have some of its potency? The above, I’m sure, is typical of leaflets going out from the yellows to those identified as non-Tories in hundreds of CON-LD encounters throughout England. It’s worked in the past and has helped Clegg’s party build its local government base. So how’s it going to resonate this time? Will the fact of the coalition mean that anti-Tory supporters will be much less likely to vote Lid Dem? Notice the branding above…
How possible is coalition government with elections on? It all seemed so easy last May. Two parties having come together to agree a coalition document over little more than a weekend, leaders joking in the garden of Number Ten and ministers sitting happily around the cabinet table. It looks a different ball game now. Disagreements between members of the two coalition parties have been more frequent and more public in the last month than at any time so far this…
Marf currently has an exhibition entitled “City Blues” at the Guildhall Gallery in the City of London – see this review in today’s Independent. On Monday afternoon from about 4pm Marf will be at the gallery ahead of the PB party at the Dirty Dicks public house that evening from 6pm. All PBers, whether lurkers or commenters are welcome to join us then and see many of her cartoons that first appeared on PB. The gallery is only about ten…
Without the debates could Labour have hung on? Today is the first anniversary of an event that was to have a profound impact on the 2010 general election and which probably changed British politics forever – the first of the three leaders’ TV debates. It was staged at the Granada studios in Manchester and I was fortunate to have been there – taking part in the post-debate discussion on ITV with Jonathan Dimbleby. We all know the story of what…
Rob Ford looks at the possibilities In a recent post, Mike noted that the Conservatives may be pushing the immigration issue to defend themselves from defections to UKIP. We agree that UKIP pose a real threat to the established parties at this year’s local polls, but UKIP supporters are not merely grumpy old Tory right wingers. In a recent study with Matthew Goodwin (Nottingham) and David Cutts (Manchester), which can be found here I examined the UKIP electorate at the…
Ipsos-MORI MORI has concern about it dropping to a 9 year low On a day when the big political story has been Dave’s immigration speech and the attack upon it from Vince one of my favourite monthly polls is just out – the Ipsos-MORI issues index which has been asked in the same form for more than three decades. In the latest poll just 17% of those taking part said “race relations/immigration” – a drop of nine points since March…
Did previous questions influence the referendum finding? There’s a new AV poll from YouGov just out that was commissioned by the Institute for Public Policy Research and has findings that are very different from other recent surveys from the online pollster. After re-percentaging so that only decided voters are included the survey found YES ahead by 58% to 42% – a lead of sixteen points. This compares with the most recent YouGov AV poll that has NO 8% ahead. What…