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Will she resign over the HS2 route? The Rt Hon Cheryl Gillan MP’s imminent resignation should be the least surprising ministerial departure for many a year. From day one of the Coalition Government the Secretary of State for Wales made her opposition to High Speed Rail 2 known. With little sign that the original route will avoid her Chesham and Amersham constituency it is likely she will resign within a month. The Cabinet Minister told the Bucks Free Press in…

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Guardian/ICM Gloomy news for the Two Eds from ICM and Populus Two new telephone poll tonight from two firms that were right at the top of the accuracy table at the general election. Populus in the Times has CON 33%(nc): LAB 41%(nc): LD 13%(+5): OTH 13%(-4) so a huge boost for Clegg’s party after their extraordinary poor showing last month ICM in the Guardian has CON 36%(+1): LAB 38%(-1): LD 14%(+1): OTH 12%(-1) – so the LAB lead getting cut…

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What about the ex-LAB Gen Sec’s analysis Peter Watt, the ex-Gen Sec of the Labour party, has put up a blog post in which he suggests that at the next election we might just see a Cleggmania part 2. PB is about about predictions of political outcomes and I just love those prepared to stick their neck out and put forward something that miles away from received opinion. Peter Writes:- “…Cameron has looked weaker than he did and Miliband only…

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Telegraph What’ll be the impact of Milly’s parents giving evidence? It seems an age ago but it’s only four and a half months since the first allegations about the phone-hacking saga in relation to the deletion of Milly Dowler’s voice mails became public. It was that event that opened the floodgates to a whole series of developments including the closure of the News of the World, the repeated appearances of James Murdoch before a commons committee and the kicking into…

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Reuters Another pollster has Gingrich in the lead The controversial ex-house speaker, Newt Gingrich, has moved into the lead in the GOP nomination race, brushing off concerns about his work for a troubled housing finance company. The latest survey, by Ipsos for Reuters has 24% of registered Republican voters supporting him – an increase of 8 points from roughly a week ago. Crucially the poll, was conducted on November 18-19 and after the allegations about his role working for Freddie…

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Voting intention 36/40/9 The Sunday Times poll from YouGov is just out and the VI figures of 36/40/9 show the Labour lead down to 4 but still comfortably ahead of the Tories and still in a position that would give them a majority if there was a general election tomorrow. But, of course, there isn’t going to be an election tomorrow and some of the key measures for taking the political temperature are the regular leader ratings asking whether respondents…

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This month’s ComRes online poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is just out and shows very little change on a month ago. The Tories are down two, the LDs and others are up 1 with Labour no change on 39%. Like all current polling the voting intention question was based on what respondents would do in a hypothetical general election tomorrow. I’d like pollsters to start putting the May 7 2015 date to see what happens. It…

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Could the “anti-Romney mantle” be moving to Newt? The picture of five leading contenders for the Republican nomination for president shows today’s average from Real Clear Politics and has the betting front runner, Mitt Romney, ahead by less than half a point. Many commentators have observed how one anti-Romney candidate afrer another has moved forward but then has eased back in the polling after appearing to be the main contender. The previous ABM (Anyone But Mitt) was Herman Cain whose…

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