Is Hunt about to become Dave’s human shield?

Is Hunt about to become Dave’s human shield?

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@nicholaswatt @dansabbagh @paulwaugh This is a nice email from #Leveson evidence twitter.com/JetBlackPope/s… — Dan (@JetBlackPope) April 24, 2012 What’ll be the fall-out from today’s revelations? We’ve been in London all day for my wife, Jacky’s, graduation (she’s got an MSc from Birkbeck) and it was only on the train home that I first saw what could be devastating news in relation to culture secretary, Jeremy Hunt. The Telegraph’s Iain Martin has got this right – Cameron will use Hunt as…

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The May 3rd local elections – your predictions

The May 3rd local elections – your predictions

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Please take part in the big PB survey Which if these possible outcomes do you think will happen on May 3rd? (Tick all that apply) LAB will make 700 plus gains LAB will make 500-700 gains LAB will make fewer than 500 gains The LDs will have net gains against the Tories The LDs will NOT have net gains against the Tories The LDs will have fewer than 300 net losses The LDs will NOT have fewer than 300 net…

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Suddenly the bookies have woken up to May 3rd

Suddenly the bookies have woken up to May 3rd

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How many seats will Labour gain? With just nine days to go before what are being described as the “Britain’s mid-terms” there’s a whole raft of new markets being set up by the bookies. Until now virtually the only focus has been on London. Now many other options are available including the second biggest mayoral election – the choice of the first elected mayor of Liverpool from William Hill. Labour is the 1/10 favourite but you might have local knowledge….

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LAB move to biggest ICM lead since the general election

LAB move to biggest ICM lead since the general election

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CON 33 (-4) LAB 41 (+3) LD 15 (+2) UKIP 3% (-1) For the first time the firm has them in the 40s The April ICM poll for the Guardian is just out and has LAB in its best position with the pollster since the general election. The changes above are with the last ICM poll to be published not the last one in the Guardian which was a bit earlier. more follows @MikeSmithsonOGH

Could Boris be out of a job next week?

Could Boris be out of a job next week?

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Boris 43%(-2) Ken 41%(+1) Paddick 8%(+1) Benita 3%(+1), UKIP-Webb 3% (nc) Jones GRN 2%(nc) BNP (1%) YouGov London: Ken now within just 2% With just ten days to go there’s a new YouGov London poll just out which has the Boris-Ken gap down sharply to just 2%. This is very much in line with the increase in Labour’s lead in the Westminster headline voting intentions in the capital. Clearly this is going to be very close and everything depends on…

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So is Hollande now a certainty for round 2?

So is Hollande now a certainty for round 2?

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Google politics with 99.9% reporting Could Sarkozy be worth a 5/1 bet? Overnight Nickolas Sarkozy became the first sitting French president to fail to win round one of a presidential election. His margin of defeat was a touch closer than some of the polls were predicting but there’s little doubt that his Socialist party opponent, Francois Hollande has the momentum for the second round run off a week on Sunday. The surprise was the good showing of Marine Le Pen…

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France 2012 Round One – Election Night

France 2012 Round One – Election Night

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Wikimedia Commons Leaked results show Hollande doing well overseas The first French polling stations close at 6pm local time tonight (5pm UK) and the last two hours later, but already there have been leaked unofficial results via Swiss media which show Socialist challenger Hollande doing well in the French overseas territories (the DOM-TOM) in the Americas, with swings of about 20% in Guadeloupe. It’s expected that Hollande and Sarkzoy will progess comfortably through to the second round in two weeks’…

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Remember when UKIP was going to take out John Bercow?

Remember when UKIP was going to take out John Bercow?

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ConservativeHome poll September 2009 Why’s Farage’s party so poor at the ground war? This post has been going round my head since Thursday night’s PB party following a couple of conversations with those who were there. The first was an observation from John O, a regular since the early days of the site, about how few PBers appeared to have little direct experience of the grunt work and expertise required to win elections on the ground. The second was with…

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