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ComRes for IoS/SM: Con 34%(-3), Lab 40%(-), LD 11%(+1), UKIP 6%(-), Others 9%(+2) ht.ly/aqKcu — Andrew Hawkins (@Andrew_ComRes) April 21, 2012 ComRes: 29% say Dave turning to be good PM/ 22% saying Cl egg good LD leaderwith only 18% saying EdM good Lab leader. PAGING DAN HODGES — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 21, 2012 ComRes – on leader disapproval Ed is at:49%/ Dave 50%/Nick 52% — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 21, 2012 Indy/S Mirror poll: Cameron and Osborne fall from…

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Is this the end of the road for Sarkozy? As we move into the final hours of the French presidential campaign all the signs point to both a victory for the Socialist, Francois Hollander in the first round of voting tomorrow and in the second round two weeks later. The best betting price you can get is 1/8 with PaddyPower while other bookies are as tight as 1/10. There had been suggestions that the incumbent, Sarkozy might squeeze a lead…

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Are there more government PR problem in the offing? It’s no coincidence that none of the additional $400bn the IMF is raising from its members has come from the USA. There are elections there this year and neither members of Congressmen nor the president would be likely to be thanked by the electors for being seen to send scarce resources overseas to rescue spendthrift governments. The decision of George Osborne to authorise British funding of £10bn loan to the IMF…

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Welcome to the best overnight political conversation on the net. Have a good evening. @MikeSmithsonOGH

..is a CON majority becoming an impossible dream? The chart shows the latest LAB leads in the eight pollsters featured and the top six present a very glum picture for the Tories. The chart shows that last night’s YouGov 32/45/8 is not out of line – certainly in terms of the LAB lead over CON. The exceptions, ICM and Ipsos-MORI, with just 1% LAB leads, are the oldest in the list and are from March. Fieldwork for their April surveys…

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This is the place for PB’s easy going overnight conversation. Have a good evening. Just heading home from Dirty Dicks. More later @MikeSmithsonOGH