While Labour continues to have problems with leader ratings Dave should be worried about how his party is perceived

While Labour continues to have problems with leader ratings Dave should be worried about how his party is perceived

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The above netted off figures are based on these more detailed numbers. There were, as it turned out only two polls overnight, and the findings that I am highlighting are the party and leader favourability figures from Survation for the Mail on Sunday. These show, I’d suggest, the biggest challenges facing both the blue and red teams just 21 months before GE2015. Labour’s weak link is its leader while the big drag on Cameron is the Conservative party itself. These…

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PB’s Nick Palmer wins the Broxtowe nomination so he can fight to regain the seat lost at GE2010

PB’s Nick Palmer wins the Broxtowe nomination so he can fight to regain the seat lost at GE2010

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Labour's new candidate in Broxtowe rallies the troops @broxtowelabour @NickPalmerMP pic.twitter.com/0PnF5r4Dq5 — Andy Furlong (@FurlongA) August 3, 2013 It was back in 2004, only a few months after PB was launched, that Labour’s Nick Palmer (he’s the man in the suit in the pic) became the first sitting MP to post on the site under his own name. He’s been posting ever since and has been a regular at PB events. At the last election I know that a number…

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How do the Tories balance their electoral coalition?

How do the Tories balance their electoral coalition?

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Is the immigration debate symptomatic of a larger problem? The furore that has blown up among those who’ve noticed the two news stories connected to immigration this week is a good example of the problems the Conservatives face in winning an outright majority at the next election. On one level, the challenge is not too difficult, despite the boundary review not being completed.  If the economy continues to recover, with either living standards improving or at least the prospect of…

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Night hawks is now open

Night hawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, Everyone’s a winner if you do delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Gove or May as Tory leader? No, Boris is still the grassroots’ favourite – and by a country mile Exclusive polling shows that Boris Johnson…

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LAB lead moves from 5pc to 11pc with Populus online

LAB lead moves from 5pc to 11pc with Populus online

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The “ever so stable poll” ain’t any longer Above in the chart are the figures for today’s Populus online poll which show a big change on Monday’s survey. As can be seen the Tories are down 5 and UKIP up 4. I asked the firm whether there have been any weighting or other methodological changes which might explain such a big shift in such a short period of time. The response I got from Rick Nye is below:- “No. But…

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Farage’s locals strategy takes a knock as it loses more of the seats won in May

Farage’s locals strategy takes a knock as it loses more of the seats won in May

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LAB has put huge effort into taking back #Thetford W from UKIP – a seat they lost by 1 vote on May 2. See pic.twitter.com/jfbKfhKFzG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 1, 2013 Tonight's results mean that UKIP has lost every seat won on May 2nd which they have had to defend in a by-election — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 1, 2013 But it’s not all been negative for the purples It might be August but it’s been a big night of…

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Harry Hayfield’s local by-election preview : August 1st 2013

Harry Hayfield’s local by-election preview : August 1st 2013

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Codnor and Waingroves on Amber Valley (Lab Defence) Last Local Election (2012): Con 24, Lab 21 (Conservative overall majority of 3) Ward Results (during last electoral cycle) 2010: Lab 1,159 (43%), Con 1,127 (42%), BNP 391 (15%) 2011: No Election 2012: Lab 825 (58%), Con 339 (24%), UKIP 198 (14%), BNP 59 (4%) In the 1970 general election, one sight above all showed what a shock result that election was for Harold Wilson, Belper (a seat that in 1966 had…

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