Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. To you lurkers, why not delurk. Lurking, is Another World to posting, I, Believe, your contributions will be enhance PB, Hopefully this will Galvanise you to delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) PMQs verdict: Ed Miliband came prepared for a “nightmare†– and duly…
A LAB majority now a 38.5% chance on Betfair – up 3% in a week Hung parliament at 39.1% still favourite pic.twitter.com/l0bwq66tJr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 20, 2013 There’s been a move back to a LAB majority on the Betfair GE2015 outcome market. The price had moved in by about 3% in the past two days. A hung parliament remains the favourite. The chart above is from the Betfair exchange and covers a period of about 3 years. Unfortunately there…
But is it blip or start of a trend? After a dark November of polls for the Tories YouGov today gives them their best figures of the month. Like all such moves we have to be careful before jumping to conclusions. It might just be a blip or it could be a first indicator that the better economic news is beginning to resonate. Dave Cameron and his team will surely be hoping for the latter. Interestingly the proportion of 2010…
Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re going to be Up All Night, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. To you lurkers, If You Ever contemplated delurking tonight, why not delurk tonight, It’s Alright, to delurk, hopefully lurkers all Around The World, will delurk tonight. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) The Tory disease Boles’s call…
Telegraph's Ben Brogan says q not why LAB doing well, but why CON badly? http://t.co/stEH68O5IM See this Aug 1/2 pic.twitter.com/NPiPYxk9LD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2013 And this on EdM & LAB from same Ipsos-MORI poll in August CON liked a lot less than LAB pic.twitter.com/32CRpINKW8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2013 The ANTI-CON tribe is bigger than the PRO-CON one As can be seen the Tories have a net minus 19% on the like/dislike question. Labour by contrast…
With the cash & all the coverage UKIP have to succeed For a party that doesn’t have a single MP it’s quite remarkable that UKIP goes into next May’s EU elections as the evens betting favourite to come out top on votes. The Sykes donation on top of the extraordinary level of coverage for Farage, have simply added to the expectations and the party simply has to come top. Receiving a few million pounds from a Yorkshire tycoon has its…
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, nighthawks is All About You, Please Please, take the opportunity to Delurk, once you delurk, you’ll be saying Don’t Stop Me Now. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Ed Miliband can’t face down Unite or Ed Balls. He’s a leader who…
@MSmithsonPB Thanks Mike. Happy memories of us with Stephen visiting Hillary and Bill in the Oval in 1999. Deja vu! pic.twitter.com/I7K19lVaqf — John McCaffrey (@McCaffJohn) November 16, 2013 John McCaffrey ‘s departure is not good for Labour There’ve been two political fundraising stories over the past few days. The unsurprising news that Paul Sykes has promised several millions for the UKIP Euro election campaign for next May and the departure of John McCaffrey as Labour’s head of fundraising and commercial…