This is the penultimate in a series looking at the 7 main Great Britain parties. The main focus will be on the Green Party of England and Wales, but we’ll also look at the separate Scottish Greens. Let me start with a question. Since 2010, the Green Party of England and Wales has had 7 leaders or co-leaders, how many can you name? Vote share The main challenge for the Green Party in England and Wales is simple: national vote…
Sir Laurie Magnus’s Report was kinder than it could have been to Angela Rayner. Rather worse than her not taking legal advice was that she lied about having taken such advice, a point his report ignored. The moral of her departure from government is simply this: pay attention to what your lawyer tells you. When he or she “recommends” something, they are not suggesting one pudding over another. A lawyer’s “Recommend” means: “You’d be a bloody fool not to do…
Today is the third anniversary of Liz Truss becoming Prime Minister and earlier on this week she didn’t rule out a return to frontline politics and this polling confirms what people think about her tenure. If Liz Truss is to return to politics I cannot shake the feeling she will end up in Reform, Ladbrokes are offering a market on Boris Johnson defecting to Reform, I’d love to see a market about Liz Truss defecting to Reform. I have never…
I think it is amusing that Angela Rayner is still rated as a better chance of becoming PM than the Chancellor which says so much about tenure of Rachel Reeves. TSE
I am intrigued to see who ends up as the new deputy leader, we should see some betting markets on this soon. TSE
I am not sure there’s any value in these markets. There’s too much ego involved for this to work even before we consider Nigel Farage inability to work well with others. Would Nigel Farage really want to allow the man behind the Boriswave into his party? As for Nadine Dories, I am a huge fan of Nadine Dorries, as Ladbrokes allude to, her predictions for next Tory leaders/exits are a real money spinner from a punter’s perspective if you bet…
Whilst I will go to my grave saying conveyancers aren’t lawyers this isn’t a good look for Angela Rayner, punters certainly agree. What will ultimately cause Rayner’s downfall is the hypocrisy angle and the fact she’s blaming her advisers who are fighting back and making Rayner look at best disingenuous. TSE PS – Hat-tip to TheUnionDivvie for the headline
Despite being potentially four years away, some people, particularly on social media (I know) think Reform will win the next election, I have my doubts, for the following reasons As we can see from the above polling from YouGov (which is from a longer series of posts) that voters would prefer a Labour/Starmer led government rather than a Reform/Farage led government after the next election. We saw this kind of polling between 2010 and 2015 when Labour often led by…