The (lack of) incumbency bonus
TSE
Split ticketing is still real
From this side of the pond it felt like America was hyper-partisan and that split ticketing would be a thing of the past despite the polling showing otherwise but as we can see it still exists. I’ve not had deep dive in to the senate races but there should be some useful information to be gleaned on what sort of candidate they need to win the White House in 2028, after all this wasn’t a Trump landslide and as Bob…
So this is the polling question we need to see more
TSE
The new divides
That split between age and gender is quite stark. TSE
The future’s bad, the future’s orange
More proof that Kemi Badenoch erred with her approach at PMQs. TSE
Going for the pro Trump UK voters was courageous from Badenoch
Today was Kemi Badenoch’s first PMQs as leader of the opposition and her choice of topic was a bit of a dud going after David Lammy for his past comments about Donald Trump. As we can see in the above YouGov poll being pro-Trump won’t be a vote winner, British politicians have form for dissing the self confessed pussy grabber, including plenty of Tories such as Boris Johnson. Starmer displayed some quality sass today which isn’t typical for him but…
Ayrshire hotelier Donald Trump becomes American president again
Whilst the final results haven’t been confirmed as ever it is the economy, stupid, the wave that has unseated incumbent governments across the world, people seldom reward governments and parties that make them poorer. T hat should give the Dems some hope for 2028, particularly if Donald Trump delivers on his promise to return America to the time of Smoot-Hawley, a tariff policy which helped see the GOP lose the next five presidential elections. TSE
The gender split is key
If/when Trump wins then the gender split will be why. The latest results have moved Betfair back to Trump. TSE