Monday is the ninth anniversary of when the United Kingdom voted to impose economic sanctions on itself and it is no surprise pollsters are polling and whilst all the focus on the majority wanting to rejoin/having closer relations with the EU without rejoining my focus will be elsewhere. The majority of Brits think Brexit was the wrong decision/a failure and the Tories are getting the blame both as a party and individual people, the question is how they can fix…
TSE
Our political class is incapable of joining dots, a criticism made by the Home Secretary in Parliament on Monday about several public sector institutions. She really should look in the mirror. However, this week and last provide other examples of a failure to use information painfully learnt in one context to prevent the problem happening again elsewhere. It is a story about two Private Members Bills. The first is the Assisted Dying (“AD”) Bill. The other is the Powers of…
I continue to advise to lay Boris Johnson in the next Tory leader markets for several reasons, he’s not an MP, Kemi Badenoch feels like she will be ousted within the next 12 months or so. Another reason is that he’s not that well regarded by the public, leader approval ratings can often give a better outcome of elections than voting intention polls and there’s plenty of Tories and others who will tell you that Sir Keir Starmer is a…
I suspect this polling is a result of the way the Israelis have behaved in Gaza even longstanding supporters of Israel have accused of them committing genocide. My expectation is support for backing Israel will fall further as more and more people become of aware of Israel doing a Tony Blair and lied and exaggerated about another country’s weapons of mass destruction. TSE
Looking at this market from William Hill I wonder if the value might be with Bridget Phillipson who has been tipped to be sacked in a forthcoming reshuffle because her stint as Education Secretary has been suboptimal. I am also tempted to back Shabana Mahmood at 5/1 because she’s become very vocal on opposing the assisted suicide bill but the tipping point for her might be Labour effectively decriminalises abortion in England and Wales all the way up to birth,…
Ladbrokes have some markets on what Nigel Farage may do, a golden rule when it comes to betting is not to get involved in betting markets where the bookie doesn’t offer both sides of the bet. Nigel Farage gas previously appeared on I Am A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here so I can see the attraction of appearing on Strictly so I am tempted to take the 25/1, this may be a winner if Farage appears in a Strictly…
Finally – FINALLY – I have something to live for: reading the final national report on the statutory grooming gangs inquiry just announced by the PM (ahead of this week’s Casey report recommending this) which should be published ….ooh, I dunno …. anything from 7 to 10 years hence. Or longer. Starmer seems unable to think more than one step ahead. Bizarre for a lawyer. It is one thing good lawyers should be able to do and having worked on…