Oddly this interview with Eric Trump has cheered me up because I’ve been saying and betting for a while that I am expecting a Trump to be the Republican nominee in 2028, it might Donald Trump, it might be Donald Trump Jr, or Eric Trump (I also have long shot bets on Jared Kushner). If you’re not already on you can back Donald Trump Jr at 34 on Betfair, Eric Trump and Lara Trump at 66/1 each at Ladbrokes, and…
Tim Shipman in The Spectator is telling us about the dire straits the Tories find themselves in under Kemi Badenoch, Ipsos has found Kemi Badenoch has the worst ratings six month in for any Leader of the Opposition since Ipsos started polling in the 1970s, coupled with all the election losses, defections, and other dire polling Tory MPs are antsy. I found this part striking Ross Thomson, a former Aberdeen MP who briefly ran Badenoch’s leadership campaign in Scotland, defected…
Gareth’s excellent recent PB header “The Challenge for … Reform” suggested that running local councils could give the party valuable executive experience. But does this influx of Reform Councillors actually bring “outsiders” into the system? Or does it just offer “insiders” a new ladder to climb? Meet Stephen Atkinson, newly elected leader of Lancashire County Council. First time elected this year as a Reform councillor, with a career background of having been *checks notes* Council Leader of Ribble Valley Council for the…
The most interesting finding is that more people are prepared to vote against Labour than they are Reform. While I don’t feel confident enough to predict the outcome of the next election I feel confident in saying the next election with feature hitherto unknown levels of tactical voting. TSE
I find this poll utterly depressing, like Brexit, the voters are prepared to make the country worse off financially because of values. I have recently thoiught about taking a job overseas, more polling like this and I definitely will be going, the country should be about aspiration. TSE
Ever since I’ve read this story I have visions of lots of Iranians sat in Qom and Tehran looking at Scottish subsamples to spin the as evidence of the end of the Union. Was the Supreme Leader simultaneously issuing fatwas about Twelver Shi’ism and Scottish independence? I also have visions of the Iranian trolls utterly befuddled by the scandal involving the motorhome that engulfed Nicola Sturgeon and her husband. It is clear enemies of the United Kingdom are using social…
What a time to be alive with a POTUS dropping the F bomb so publicly. I feel sorry for geopolitical/foreign policy analysts who have to predict the world with Trump as POTUS. I expect there will be consequences for Bibi and Israel from Trump and the GOP. TSE
Blessed are the peacemakers, for they shall be called sons of God, hopefully this ceasefire holds. TSE