Latest general election betting

Latest general election betting

On Saturday when the story about James McMurdock broke punters took a dim view about the scandal but Reform have retaken their place as favourites for the most seats. Given his conviction for assaulting his girlfriend I don’t think Nigel Farage will be too upset by this scandal although it is another failure for Reform’s vetting process. TSE

Labour’s Liz Truss problem x 100

Labour’s Liz Truss problem x 100

Despite only being Prime Minister for forty-nine days Liz Truss managed to cement her name into the lexicon of UK politics, such as Trussing the markets when her mini budget spooked the markets because she proposing a massive increase in government spending and cuts to taxes which given the state of the public finances was not what the markets wanted to hear. If the Tory party is about to go the way of the Liberal party in the last century…

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Trump derangement syndrome is real

Trump derangement syndrome is real

An assumption of many punters, myself included, have is that the second Trump presidency will be very bad for those voters who voted for it and they would reject Trump and the GOP in the midterms and in 2028 but that that assumption might be faulty as seen with the Trump voter in the tweet. Support for Trump really is cult like and plenty of his supporters truly are deranged. TSE

The next Chancellor of the Exchequer

The next Chancellor of the Exchequer

After the events of the last couple of days Ladbrokes have put up a market on the next Chancellor and if Reeves resigns or is replaced as Chancellor I think the value is with Yvette Cooper for two reasons. Due to Labour never having woman leader Labour and Starmer have made much of Rachel Reeves being the first woman Chancellor and if she is replaced they will choose another woman and secondly she’s appeared competent in a difficult role, relatively…

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Political authority is a lot like virginity, once it is gone it is very difficult to get back

Political authority is a lot like virginity, once it is gone it is very difficult to get back

This feels like the Liz Truss premiership but with fewer lettuces as the authority of the Prime Minister and Chancellor getting shredded by their own party and the markets. I suspect neither Starmer & Reeves have the same fortitude that Margaret Thatcher & Sir Geoffrey Howe and David Cameron & George Osborne had during their first year in office. I hope Rachel Reeves is okay, politics is a brutal business and no hiding places particularly those in the more high…

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