Should you be laying Robert Jenrick?

Should you be laying Robert Jenrick?

For decades laying the favourite has usually been a profitable strategy when it comes to betting on the next Tory leadership election and I think it might apply to Robert Jenrick too, who is currently the favourite at 2.56 on Betfair. The problem Jenrick has is a wider problem the Tory party has, those who oversaw the Boriswave have no credibility which is why Labour and Reform have shared Jenrick’s past comments about wanting to open more asylum hotels. What…

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Reaching a majority

Reaching a majority

Ladbrokes have a couple of majority related markets. When it comes to the first market on if any party will win a majority, this isn’t a market I am plan to play at the moment. It is possible for a party to win a majority on circa 25% of the vote. I think it might be better to play the Betfair markets on the individual parties and whether they will win a majority and trade in and out accordingly. If…

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Thistle do nicely, a 16% return in 9 months?

Thistle do nicely, a 16% return in 9 months?

Ladbrokes have put up a market on who will win the most seats at next year’s Holyrood election and it is a stunning achievement for the the SNP to be the 1/6 favourites when by the time of next year’s election they will have been in power for 19 (nineteen) years. I cannot see Sir Keir Starmer repeating his Malleus Scotnatorum performance from last year’s general election which is down to the performance of his government, I do not expect…

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The Times They Are A’Changing

The Times They Are A’Changing

Over the next couple of weeks we’re making some behind-the-scenes changes to [Politicalbetting’s plumbing. The short version: we’re moving the site behind Cloudflare, the world’s most widely used network for keeping websites fast, reliable, and resilient when people make outrageous claims about the benefits of pineapple on pizza. The process has three steps: first, we’ll move our DNS to Cloudflare. Then we’ll transfer the domain registration. Finally, we’ll switch on proxying, which is the bit that really boosts speed and…

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Could one man win both Strictly Come Dancing and the next London mayoral election?

Could one man win both Strictly Come Dancing and the next London mayoral election?

This is very firm QTWTAIN contender, simply because I cannot see how Reform do well in London, especially as the voting system in 2028 will be the supplementary vote system which I expect to be unfavourable to Reform. As a Strictly superfan I suspect he won’t be the winner where I think the value might be Alex Kingston, who famously played River Song in Doctor Who. The wife of the Doctor dancing and winning is currently around 16/1. Harry Aikines-Aryeetey…

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