Is the NHS helping Clegg’s ratings recovery?

Is the NHS helping Clegg’s ratings recovery?

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Ipsos-MORI And shouldn’t Ed being faring better amongst ex-LDs? As well as this morning’s voting intention figures we now have details of the pollster’s leadership ratings which have been asked in the same form for nearly a third of a century. As can be seen Cameron is almost at a standstill, Clegg sees an upturn from the previous seriously poor figures and Ed Miliband continues to struggle. In spite of Labour benefitting more than the Tories in the fall of…

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LAB down to its smallest MORI share since December

LAB down to its smallest MORI share since December

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YouGov now looking even more isolated The June political monitor by Ipsos-MORI for Reuters is out and has both coalition partners moving up at the expense of Labour who are now back in the 30s for the first time from the firm since last December. Labour are down three at 39 with with the Tories up two at 37 and the LDs up one at 11. The shares are almost identical to the ICM poll that was published on Monday…

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How precarious are Nick and Ed’s positions?

How precarious are Nick and Ed’s positions?

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Could they be in for a tricky conference season? Stan James has an interesting market on which of the three main party leaders will be the first to leave before. The exits have to take place before the next general election and there’s an option that all three will be in place. Clegg is 7/4 Miliband is 2/1 Cameron is 12/1 None of them 5/4 Politicians are a remarkably resilient lot and it takes a lot to shift someone who has got…

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Will EdM benefit by being cavalier on human rights?

Will EdM benefit by being cavalier on human rights?

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.or is Cameron vulnerable on the DNA rape issue? One of Ed Miliband’s lines of attack at today’s PMQs was on the plan to delete the DNA records of those “arrested but not charged with rape”. He argued that some of those involved went on offend with the clear implication that if the police had the records then their task would be easier. A tricky question with the broader objective of making the coalition appear weak on crime. The trouble…

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Will being tough on crime/immigrants win Tory converts?

Will being tough on crime/immigrants win Tory converts?

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Or are we seeing a core votes strategy? The chart shows the party splits in today’s YouGov “Issues facing you/your family findings and shows a vast difference in the view of what’s important between supporters of the three parties in four key areas. Thus on immigration Tory voters are seven times more likely to be concerned than Lib Dem ones who registered just three percent. Today’s results on the environment are almost exactly a mirror image with LD being seven…

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ComRes finds little support for public sector strikes

ComRes finds little support for public sector strikes

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Are the unions losing the war of words? A ComRes/ ITV News poll on the public sector strikes has found that the public is negative about both the prospects of success and reveals a warning to strikers that they will win little sympathy for strike action in the present financial climate. More than half (54%) say that the public sector strikes ultimately stand no chance of succeeding in changing government policy spending cuts. To another question 63% warn that ‘public…

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YouGov: One in five Labour voters backing Boris

YouGov: One in five Labour voters backing Boris

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Is the colourful old-Etonian heading for a second term? There’s a new YouGov London poll out that has Boris on 48% and Ken on 41%. What’s interesting is that amongst those saying that they’ll vote Labour at the general election 21% say they will be supporting Boris for Mayor. This compares with 4% of Tory voters going for Ken. YouGov had something of a triumph in the 2008 race with a final poll that was right to within 1%

Is holding onto 2010 gains Dave’s first challenge?

Is holding onto 2010 gains Dave’s first challenge?

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Can the blues get a big enough lead over the reds? For a whole series of reasons I regard the ICM poll each month as the most definitive pointer to the current state of opinion. Unlike YouGov and some ComRes polls their fieldwork is carried out over the phone; the firm does not have the sampling problems caused by newspaper readership weightings; and unlike all the other pollsters ICM has a unique weighting structure that puts a premium on the…

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