Will this be the speech that changes the narrative
Discuss EdM’s here on PB It is due to start at 2.15pm
Can EdM start to change perceptions this afternoon?
Are leaders able to build from a low base? The above is the breakdown of responses to the big non-voting intention question in the overnight ComRes telephone poll for the Independent. It’s not good for Ed Miliband with a third of those saying they’d vote Labour in the disagree column. In a general election people are voting for much more than a party and these poll findings can be highly indicative. As I’ve repeated several times here the polling experience…
ComRes: Tories ahead for the first time since Oct 2010
And more poor numbers for Ed Miliband For the first time since October last year the Tories have moved ahead of Labour according to ComRes. On the Labour leader just 24 per cent agreed and 57 per cent disagreed that EdM was a credible prime minister-in-waiting. Only 27 per cent thought that Ed Balls would make a better Chancellor than George Osborne, while 43 per cent disagreed. Four in 10 people (40 per cent) said they would be more likely…
ICM: Balls gets better ratings from LD voters than Labour ones
Will today’s speech start to win more support? New polling data issued today by ICM suggests that Ed Balls is rated more highly by Lib Dem voters than Labour ones. When asked whether the shadow chancellor was doing a good job/bad job the sample split 45% to 27% against the Labour shadow chancellor. Amongst those intending to vote Lib Dem the split was 38% good to 39% bad. With Labour voters, however, only 34% were ready to put him into…
Is it really this gloomy for the blues in their marginals?
Will Ashcroft’s new poll make uncomfortable reading? There’s another one of Michael Ashcroft’s massive polls out this morning which involved an overall sample of more than 13,000 in 41 marginal seats. They were all contacted by telephone – I assume by Populus the firm that has done much of Ashcroft’s research. Eight of the seats are Tory-held seats with the LDs in second place. The rest are Tory seats with Labour in second place. The key numbers are in the…
London Statto looks at Labour’s planned new franchise
Is giving 3% to party “supporters” a gimmick This morning we should get the result of the vote on the proposal to open the party’s leadership election to “registered supporters†as well as the three existing sections of the electoral college – party members, MPs/MEPs and, ofcourse, the affiliates (essentially, as we know, the trades unions). The proposal is that the registered supporters will have 3% of the vote once a threshold of 50,000 registered supporters is reached, increasing to…
Good evening all in the PB Nighthawks Cafe..
Welcome to another less formal overnight thread One of the things that was said at last Monday’s PB gathering in Birmingham is how much the PB Nighthawks Cafe is welcomed by new and occasional posters. One attendee told how daunting some PB discussions can feel and this provides an oportunity for something more relaxed. Mostly it’s settled down okay and we have seen a fair number of first time posters. So have good evening. Tomorrow is Monday and only eight…
The money goes on Murphy on Labour’s first day
Could he help save Labour’s Scottish seats? The first day of the Labour conference has seen a fair bit of activity in the betting on who’ll be next leader. The focus has been the shadow defence spokesman, Jim Murphy. With William Hill he started the day at 25/1 – he’s now priced at 14/1. PaddyPower had him opening at 20/1 – that’s now tightened to 12/1. Victor Chandler also started at 20/1, then moved to 14/1 and now have Murphy…