Are the Tories set to lose ALL of their Welsh Seats?
This looks an interesting bet
Q
Latest WH2024 polling has Biden ahead of Trump but losing to Haley
Michelle Obama moving up in the WH2024 betting
Quite what lies behind the reports that Michelle Obama could run for the presidency I do not know. What we have seen is a fair amount of speculation in the US media in the past 24 hours.But the betting markets, as the Smarkets chart shows, illustrates Michelle’s populaarity. Biden’s big problem is age. He’ll be 82 in November when the election takes place and there is little doubt about Michelle Obama’s popularity. Her husband, Barack, can’t run again having served…
Today is Server Move Day
The current PB server, which I shall call Icarus, has been doing excellent service for six years. But is now beginning to show its age. With this year having both US elections and UK elections, it’s time for an upgrade. I am a lot better system admin than I was when PB first started, so there’s at least a 50% chance that the server migration will happen without a hitch. It is, however, entirely possible that today will see a…
Trump could be in political trouble if found guilty
Peter Mandelson could well be right – LAB’s poll lead is artificial
I happen to agree with Mandelson and I don’t believe that the election will see party vote shares in line with what the polls are currently predicting. A big factor, as I have pointed out before, is that LAB’s poll lead is very much driven by those GE2019 CON voters who are now saying “don’t know”. I still think that Starmer will be the PM after the election but his majority (if indeed there is one) will be much smaller…