What if Cameron did fall under a bus?

What if Cameron did fall under a bus?

Who might fill the gap if it wasn’t an organised departure? Peter Bone has twice asked in the last week if Nick Clegg would take over as prime minister in the event of David Cameron dying in office – or presumably stepping down with immediate effect in any other circumstance. Irrespective of what’s prompted him to pursue the question, it’s worth looking at. Although no prime minister has died in office for almost 150 years, there have been some close…

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It’s time for the PB NightHawks Cafe

It’s time for the PB NightHawks Cafe

Latest YouGov 40/40/10 With Christmas now only three and bit days away we are still waiting for what should be the final phone poll of 2011 – from ICM for the Guardian. I’ve got no news about it but it’s a survey I’m very keen to see given that the last poll from the firm, at the weekend, had CON 40/LAB 34/LD 14. Was that just an outlier or can we expect something in the same region? Who knows? Apart…

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Can the coalition go on avoiding the blame?

Can the coalition go on avoiding the blame?

A year on and the polling’s almost the same Every fortnight since the first coalition budget YouGov has been asking the same question in the same format “And who do you think is most to blame for the current spending cuts?” The response options have been the same: CON-LD coalition: Labour: Both: Neither: Don’t know. What’s been remarkable is how consistent the response pattern has been. Thus the latest figures are very similar to what respondees were saying a year…

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Santorum moves to third favourite in Iowa?

Santorum moves to third favourite in Iowa?

Could Iowa’s evangelicals unify behind him? With just thirteen days to go before the 2012 White House race kicks off with the Iowa caucuses there’s been a fair bit of activity in the betting markets following endorsements for Rick Santorum from two of the state’s leading evangelicals. Surveys in 2008 had 60% of all participants in the Republican caucuses in Iowa describing themselves as evangelical Christians and the big question this time has been whether this key grouping would unify…

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Welcome to Tuesday in the PB NightHawks Cafe

Welcome to Tuesday in the PB NightHawks Cafe

Thanks for all your ideas, suggestions and nominations for the PB Poster of the Year. The next step is for Peter the Punter, Sunil and myself to go through the thread and agree a short-list as well as the categories on which we will vote next week. Have a good night in the PB NightHawks Cafe. Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH Recent Threads

Have the Newt & the Dave bubbles burst?

Have the Newt & the Dave bubbles burst?

The afternoon polling round-up On both sides of the Atlantic there’s been a glut of polls as media owners and pollsters get their latest findings published ahead of the holiday period. And the message in each country seems to be similar – that which looked very positive for Newt Gingrich and David Cameron only a few days ago now looks much less certain. Tucked away on page 14 of the printed edition of the Times, and not released to online…

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Who’ll be the PB Poster of the Year 2011?

Who’ll be the PB Poster of the Year 2011?

Step 1 – your chance to make your nominations Every year at this time, as PB regulars will know, we hold an election to determine the “PB Poster of the Year”. Quite simply which of those who have posted comments on the site do you think has added most to your understanding and and enjoyment during 2011. This year we are having a slightly different process. A short-listing committee consisting of Peter the Punter, Sunil Prasannan and myself will decide…

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