I feel confident that the insurrectionist former President will lose the Presidential election based on the available information and precedents. Last night’s South Carolina primary reinforced that, particularly the way Independents are breaking. There’s a been a real pattern over the last few years that the GOP do worse than the opinion polls suggests whilst inevitably the Dems do better. TSE
With the news that the political gadfly Lee Anderson has been suspended from the Tory party, not for his comments, but for his inability to apologise I wonder if Reform are about to get their first MP. In November Lee Anderson admitted that he was offered ‘a lot of money’ to join Reform UK, the then Tory deputy chairman was secretly taped claiming that the party Farage built is tapping up MPs amid accusations of £430,000 ‘bribes’ to defect. Prior…
What I would like to see is a Scotland only poll on the Hoyle farrago. TSE
My expectation is that Sunak will call the general election later on this year which will mean there is a strong likelihood that the US Presidential election and UK general elections will take place within weeks, if not days, of each other which risks in the UK the two elections getting interlinked. Liz Truss isn’t the first Tory to publicly endorse Donald Trump for President and I expect quite a few others will and effectively kiss the ring of Donald…
35 years ago – 14 February 1989 – Khomeini’s fatwa against Salman Rushdie was issued. A foreign leader instructed members of his religion world-wide to murder him because he had written a book which that leader claimed insulted his religion. After the initial outrage, some Labour politicians started rowing back, claiming that the reaction of Muslims here who supported the fatwa was understandable. It was an unprincipled, craven stance influenced by a desire not to offend Labour voters. Threatening the…
Speaker Hoyle erred very badly yesterday and he has acknowledged that but the SNP and some Tories want the Speaker ousted now. Using my expertise on Scottish affairs, which has allowed me to make me a profit on every Scottish election since 2007 onwards, I think if the SNP team up with the Tories and oust Speaker Hoyle it will play very badly in Scotland. It will play even more badly if the ousting allows the Tories to select one…
Just 1% of the electorate think Liz Truss was the best Tory Prime Minister since 2010, so this polling is further proof that the Truss comeback isn’t happening. If she tried to stand again for the Tory leadership again she’s going to get humiliated like a gimp at a BDSM party. She’s completely in denial at the moment, it wasn’t the British Deep State that thwarted her plans, it was her plans being enacted that thwarted her which is why…
When Sunak sees this polling he will rule out a May election because he thinks he will need more time to turn the polling around. TSE