Michael Ashcroft is right to raise questions about this Tory campaign

Michael Ashcroft is right to raise questions about this Tory campaign

ConservativeHome Substance is more important than trivial games Earlier this week Michael Ashcroft wrote an insightful post for ConHome attacking the campaign poster which the Tories produced for the Labour conference. He described it as a silly stunt which does not sit easily with the qualities a party of government should be able to claim for itself. He goes on:”.. The next election will be decided in marginal seats by often people who will in many cases be anxious and…

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EdM’s Manchester success could make it easier to shift Balls

EdM’s Manchester success could make it easier to shift Balls

Henry G Manson looks at the next chancellor betting Now that the Labour leader has raised his game, there will be some reflection on how Labour can boost its poor economic ratings. At some point before the election Ed Miliband may consider replacing Ed Balls as his Shadow Chancellor. Balls was the leader’s 3rd choice behind David Miliband and Alan Johnson. The Labour leadership should be concerned that despite Ed Balls calling a number of big issues right in the…

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Eddie Izzard – Labour’s 2016 London Mayoral candidate???

Eddie Izzard – Labour’s 2016 London Mayoral candidate???

The word I’m getting from the Labour conference in Manchester is that the comedian Eddie Izzard is being lined up to be the Labour candidate in the 2016 London mayoral election. He was very prominent at the conference and it is being said has some high level support. During the 2010 general election Izzard fronted election broadcasts for the party. Ladbrokes have him at 25/1. Mike Smithson For the latest polling news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB

Ed Miliband gets closer in the “best Prime Minister” ratings

Ed Miliband gets closer in the “best Prime Minister” ratings

Tweet EdM moves to within just 4% of Dave as “best PM” – his best ever position on this measure from YouGov — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 4, 2012 .At the start of 2012 Cameron led Miliband by 41% to 17% in YouGov’s best PM ratings. Today that’s 31% to 27% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 4, 2012 The Labour “don’t knows” are starting to support Ed We’ve now got the first “who would make the best Prime Minister” ratings…

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How Betfair punters reacted to tonight’s first Presidential Debate

How Betfair punters reacted to tonight’s first Presidential Debate

Tweet Romney up a bit but Obama still firm favourite The chart shows the changes in the Mitt Romney price, expressed as a percentage, during tonight’s debate. The event, at the University of Denver in Colorada, started at 0200 BST and finished at 0330 BST. On Intrade, the US-focused betting exchange, the Romney price moved to more than 30%. Being seen to have won the first debate in instant polls is not the same as winning the election – just…

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The First Presidential Debate Thread

The First Presidential Debate Thread

At 2am BST, we will see the first Presidential Debate, it is scheduled to last for 90 minutes. In the UK, the following channels are showing the debate live. BBC News Sky News CNN CNBC Fox News Sky News’ & CNN’s programming begins at 1am. UK viewers will also be able to watch a live stream of the debate from The BBC News Channel here. This is the first of the debates, the format of this and subsequent debates can…

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Obama’s price eases as we get closer to the first debate

Obama’s price eases as we get closer to the first debate

There’s a slight narrowing in the polls as well Generally speaking in US presidential elections there are three points when a challenger can make progress against an incumbent. Firstly there’s the buzz surrounding the announcement of the V-P nominee; then there is the candidate’s big speech at his convention and thirdly there’s the White House debates. The first two of those have already happened. The third of the three takes place tonight at the University of Denver. It starts at…

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