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Category: General Election

So should Dave call Boris’s 800m pound bluff?

So should Dave call Boris’s 800m pound bluff?

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Guardian Who’ll win the old-Etonian stand-off over Cross-Rail? The big development over Boris that Morus only touched on briefly in the last post was the huge row that’s apparently developing between Johnson (Eton and Balliol College Oxford) and Cameron (Eton and Brasenose College Oxford) over plans by Osborne (St. Paul’s and Magdalen College Oxford) to force a 5% cut to the £16bn London CrossRail project. According to the Guardian, though denied by the Mayor’s office, Johnson has let it be…

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How do general election LD voters view things now?

How do general election LD voters view things now?

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The ICM approval ratings break-down Coalition – overall? Good job Bad Job Don’t know All sampled 46 36 18 Current CON voters 83 5 11 Current LAB voters 21 62 16 Current LD voters 59 25 16 May 6 LD voters 48 37 15 David Cameron Good job Bad Job Don’t know All sampled 57 31 12 Current CON voters 91 5 3 Current LAB voters 33 55 12 Current LD voters 68 26 7 May 6 LD voters 58…

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Is Jackie Ashley right to chastise her party?

Is Jackie Ashley right to chastise her party?

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Guardian Could Labour be wrong by “playing nasty”? One of most provocative “Monday columns” in the the papers this morning is from Jacky Ashley in the Guardian in which she takes Labour to task for not reading reading the public mood right. She argues: “Labour is playing bad politics. The leadership campaign is turning into a tin-ear, foot-in-mouth competition about who can be nastiest to the Liberal Democrats. As candidates desperately try to prove themselves more true Labour, more tribal…

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Are the blues getting most hurt in Scotland?

Are the blues getting most hurt in Scotland?

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Ipsos-MORI But does MORI give a bit of a relief to the yellows? In the build up to what one commentator is now calling “Super Thursday” – the elections on May 5th 2011 – we are going to see a fair bit of polling. For on that that day there’ll be elections to the Welsh Assembly, the Scottish Parliament, local councils in many parts of England as well as the planned referendum on the alternative vote. Ipsos-MORI has just published…

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Would this outcome have scuppered a CON-LD deal?

Would this outcome have scuppered a CON-LD deal?

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British Election Study Would it have taken away the “TINA defence”? Those old to remember the Thatcher years will recall what came to be known as TINA – “There is no alterative” – her refrain when her policies were challenged. Well I wonder whether TINA has returned as the fact of the coalition continues to dominate the political debate. The above projection on what AV would have done to the 2010 election outcome is part a mass of information now…

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Do we agree with Nick on this?

Do we agree with Nick on this?

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BBC News Would it have been worse without the coalition deal? In a Radio 4 interview to be broadcast on Sunday night the LD leader and deputy PM, Nick Clegg, asserts that his party would be in a worse position in the polls if they had not entered into the coalition agreement with the Tories. If they had stood aside then nobody would be taking any notice of the party now. The BBC report goes on: “Being in government meant…

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Will Dave regret his debate fuel promise?

Will Dave regret his debate fuel promise?

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Is this the problem with policy-making on the hoof? Cast your minds back to Tuesday April 22nd when Adam Boulton of Sky News was moderating the second leaders’ debate in Bristol. A week earlier Nick Clegg had suddenly burst onto the scene with his first debate appearance and the polls had changed dramatically. The general view was that Cameron had performed below par and the pressure was on him to do much better. In the second debate he was clearly…

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Will this be the week the government’s ratings go negative?

Will this be the week the government’s ratings go negative?

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Ipsos-MORI Will the cross-over happen by Day 100? This is a week that’s going to be full of symbolism for the coalition government. Firstly in midweek it will reach the 100 day mark which is always a point for reflection and assessment and already we have seen the media using the peg of this milestone to start looking back. Secondly David Cameron is on holiday in Cornwall leaving his deputy, the Lib Dem Nick Clegg, notionally “in charge” whatever that…

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