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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

The Bain picture that’s becoming Romney’s Bullingdon?

The Bain picture that’s becoming Romney’s Bullingdon?

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Could Mitt time as CEO be crucial in November? The big polling picture for November’s White House election is that Obama and Romney are running pretty close to each in what, in the parlance of US elections coverage, are described as “statistical ties”. But those polls are national ones and, as we all know, the outcome will be determined by individual state battles which in almost every case allocate their electoral college votes on a first past the post basis….

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Is it worth taking out Mitt insurance?

Is it worth taking out Mitt insurance?

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David Herdson on the Republican nomination. What are the chances that Romney won’t be nominee? Following his comprehensive win in Texas this week, the media have generally called Mitt Romney as officially over the winning line, with more than half the delegates for the Republican convention later this year. Yes and no. Some states which held caucuses months ago have still to allocate their delegates as the initial vote was just the first stage in the process.  If delegates are…

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Who will be Mitt’s running mate?

Who will be Mitt’s running mate?

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Following the Texas primary last night, Mitt Romney secured enough delegates to be his party’s Presidential nominee, now he will be considering who to select as his running mate. Jeb Bush has said he would consider an offer to become Mitt Romney’s vice presidential running mate “very carefully.” The former Florida governor told Italian news outlet Linkiesta in an interview on Tuesday. “If Romney were to offer me the job of vice president, I would consider the proposal very carefully,” Bush…

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Betfair punters still make Romney just a 33 percent shot

Betfair punters still make Romney just a 33 percent shot

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Betfair Politics Is Romney’s price almost bound to tighten? There’s a new Gallup poll out that gives the presumptive Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, a nine point lead on the economy. The latest daily tracker poll from the firm has Romney on 47% to Obama’s 44%. In many key state races the margins are very tight yet, overall, punters on Betfair continue to put their money on the incumbent. The chart above shows the trend and there’s been almost no real…

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It’s time to start betting on PRESIDENT Mitt Romney

It’s time to start betting on PRESIDENT Mitt Romney

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Betfair Politics The news tonight that ex-senator Rick Santorum is pulling out of the race sets the seal on what everybody has known since the Wisconsin primary last Tuesday – Mitt Romney is going to be the nominee. For smart punters who like to trade this presents a great opportuntiy for currently the UK’s main betting exchange, Betfair, prices Romney as just a 30.1% chance to become the next president. In my judgement, backed up by a four figure bet,…

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What part will Herman Cain play in 2012?

What part will Herman Cain play in 2012?

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Wikimedia Commons (Gage Skidmore) Morus examines the candidate leading the GOP polls It’s not easy for the party outwith the White House to unseat a sitting (elected) President. Since the last depression, FDR, Eisenhower, Nixon, Reagan, Clinton, and GW Bush all strode to re-election. Truman retired, JFK was shot, Johnson beaten by his own party, Ford was never elected. Carter would be unique, were it not for the three-way split caused by Ross Perot that allowed Clinton to beat GHW…

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Will Biden be re-nominated as VP?

Will Biden be re-nominated as VP?

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Wikimedia Commons Might there be a Democratic contest after all? Betting on the next VPOTUS is a mug’s game. Our Genial Host, I think as a rule, avoids throwing money on it beyond treating it like an amusing raffle. I, for my sins, can’t resist it: the political punter’s version of the Grand National – after all, form only counts when half the horses don’t fall over their own feet. The permutations and combinations for the Republican VP nomination would…

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Who’ll win the 2012 White House race?

Who’ll win the 2012 White House race?

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Make your prediction in this PB “poll” Who’ll win the 2012 White House Race? Barack Obama Mitt Romney Another Democratic party candidate Another Republican party candidate None of the above      Mike Smithson is on holiday.