And the yellows move to their highest with ComRes for 6 months? With just a day’s campaigning left before Thursday crucial electoral test for all the parties the Lib Dem have moved to their highest ComRes share since last October while Labour drops four points to 37%. The change shown on the chart are with the last ComRes phone poll at the end of March. This isn’t to be confused with the firm’s online polling series. Following on from recent…
Is it the wards in their constituencies that matter? Clearly the focus is going to be on the Lib Dems when the results are announced on Thursday and Friday and the areas that matter most, I’d suggest are where there is a sitting MP. Almost certainly the MP incumbents will be producing aggregates of the votes cast in wards and devolved parliament seats within their constituency boundaries which could give a good indication about their current chances. For many it’s…
There’s a new and almost certainly final YouGov poll on Thursday Welsh Assembly elections and the shares suggest that it will be touch and go as to whether Labour secures an overall majority. These are the detailed shares:- Constituencies Labour 45% Conservative 21% Plaid Cymru 18% Liberal Democrat 8% List Labour 41% Conservative 20% Plaid Cymru 18% Liberal Democrat 7% UKIP 7% Green 4% The seat calculators suggest this would give Labour exactly half of the 60 seats. Hopefully there…
Is this the big story of the night? The full story by the Observer’s Toby Helm can be found here. He writes: “…..In a joint article in the Observer, signed by Labour’s shadow business secretary, John Denham, and the leader of the Green party, Caroline Lucas, Huhne and the others argue that the Conservatives were able to monopolise power for much of the 20th century because of an “unfair” first-past-the-post system. “Britain consistently votes as a centre-left country, and yet…
Was this a wise point for Hain to raise today? Twitter can become a very dangerous facility as Peter Hain is no doubt reflecting this lunchtime. His Tweet, featured above, clearly reflects his feelings about the wedding coverage but wouldn’t it have been better if he had just kept this to himself for today at least? The problem with Twitter is that it’s so easy to publish. Sometimes it can take only seconds. Now Hain’s Tweet is going to get…
Dave, stop trying to curb your Etonianism dear, it doesn’t wash The recent kerfuffle over the PM’s “Calm down, dear†comments seems to me to have to have rather missed the point. Cameron exposed a weakness at PMQ’s, but it wasn’t a weakness for rather camp Michael Winner impressions, it was a failure to control himself when he’s not on top of his brief . A trait that is particularly obvious when he’s discussing the NHS. This is something that…
NO moves to its biggest lead of the campaign A new poll by ComRes for tonight’s London Evening Standard has the biggest lead for NO so far seen in the referendum campaign when the actual wording was put. So far I cannot find any further details and don’t even know whether this was online or by phone. Also ComRes has had an odd approach to turnout weighting using responses to their general elections voting certainty question. Whatever this split is…
Is he the “safe pair of hands” to take on troubled portfolios? In recent weeks the AV campaign has brought back to prominence John Reid – the man I thought should have taken over as Labour leader when Tony Blair was forced out in 2007. He played a blinder with his double act last week with Cameron underlining why he was seen by many as the best Labour commuicator of his era. He famously dubbed Jeremy Paxman a “West London…