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Category: Betting

This poll is barking

This poll is barking

This poll from More in Common is utterly barking in my view, the two best breeds, Huskies and Malamutes, aren’t listed. I’d love to know why Green voters think a poodle would be the best PM. TSE

Could becoming a republic be the only way to keep Scotland in the Union?

Could becoming a republic be the only way to keep Scotland in the Union?

Yesterday an interesting piece of polling was published INDEPENDENCE support would rise to 59% from 54% if it meant Scotland would be a republic, a new poll shows. Support for independence was found to have risen to 54% when undecided voters are excluded earlier this month in poll commissioned by The Times following the Scottish Budget. Campaign group Believe in Scotland (BiS) commissioned pollsters Norstat to ask the same panel if Scotland removing the King as head of state would affect how they…

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Is Trump seeking to enter Gödel’s loophole?

Is Trump seeking to enter Gödel’s loophole?

A philosopher, an economist and a physicist walked into a courtroom.  They could have left behind an amusing punchline; instead, the legacy of their visit was an uncertainty – which seems appropriate in the circumstances. The philosopher was Kurt Gödel and he was there for his citizenship test as part of his application to become an American citizen in 1947.  It should have been a formality.  Gödel had been living in the United States since 1940, working at Princeton after…

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That don’t impress me much

That don’t impress me much

When it comes to Kemi Badenoch the public appear to be channelling Shania Twain and her seminal track ‘That don’t impress me much’, they are similarly unimpressed by the Tories. The latter finding isn’t that surprising considering the Tories suffered their worst general election defeat since Methuselah was a lad and the former finding isn’t surprising either given that Kemi Badenoch was a prominent member of the last government. What must sting for Kemi Badenoch is that she is doing…

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When will the 32 counties reunite?

When will the 32 counties reunite?

Ladbrokes have a couple of markets up on Irish reunification and to be honest they feel like giving Ladbrokes an interest free loan for five years. The trigger for an Irish border poll is codified unlike Scottish independence and for me the trigger will be Sinn Féin winning the most Westminster seats (ideally whilst they are in power in Dublin) and I cannot see both of those happening prior to 2030. TSE

Reform isn’t very popular

Reform isn’t very popular

Yesterday it emerged that some of next year’s local elections could be postponed due to local government reforms that would see more areas get unitary councils. It looks like it doesn’t have much support, but I suspect at people see the benefits support will increase. TSE

Things can only get better (Starmer hopes)

Things can only get better (Starmer hopes)

There’s not a lot to say about this poll from Ipsos other than i) this quite some achievement by Sir Keir and ii) there’s plenty of time for Sir Keir to turn this around iii) Boris Johnson showed in 2019 it is possible to win an election with poor ratings so long as your opponent has even worse ratings. TSE