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By the end of his second term we may be speaking of Donald Trump in the same breath as truly great pro EU types like Jacques Delors and Margaret Thatcher who helped create and deliver the Single Market. TSE

It is quite staggering that barely a third of 2024 Tory voters think Kemi Badenoch would make the better Prime Minister. She does have time to turn things around before the next election (if the Tory Party gives her time) but it appears the country has concluded that when it comes to Kemi Badenoch we might be talking about a .22 calibre mind in a .357 magnum world. TSE

A balance sheet of Donald Trump’s first three months in power: Achievements: 1)      Succeeded in making himself and many friends very rich through shorting shares and government contracts; 2)      Succeeded in getting all his criminal cases deferred indefinitely; 3)      Succeeded in getting criminal cases against his allies deferred or dismissed; 4)      Succeeded in appointing his cronies and sycophants to cabinet posts (even though you would not want a cabinet with this many screws loose); 5)      Succeeded in royally pissing off all his allies with his…

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I think the finding that the economy being the top issue is a result of Donald Trump and his tariffs which might give Labour a get out of jail card if the economy performs sub-optimally but I wouldn’t bet the farm on it. TSE

Whatever the outcome of the charges are I suspect this will have a profound impact on betting markets. Perhaps I am being hopelessly naive but my expectation is that political insiders will no longer bet on politics because they risk bad publicity and worse, they just cannot take the risk. Having worked in a regulatory role one thing I will say is you cannot misunderestimate the stupidity and greed of some people to make money, ethics is a county in…

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