We should be talking about David Lammy as our next PM. As Deputy PM he might be the best placed candidate if Sir Keir Starmer falls under the proverbial bus. Lammy showed his lawyery brilliance in the clip above and much like my 100/1 tip on Ed Miliband to succeed Starmer, this feels like an excellent trading bet, especially when you consider the likes of Zack Polanski, Zia Yusuf, and Rupert Lowe are considered having better chances of becoming our…
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For the second consecutive day in a row I am mesmerised by the turnout. Surely Starmer needs Powell inside the tent… I find it interesting Starmer has focussed heavily on Katie Lam’s repugnant comments in his speech. TSE
Last week I tipped Plaid Cymru to win this by-election because the polls were relatively close and that there was more centre-left votes to squeeze than there were on the right for Reform to squeeze. There are a few reasons why I still think Labour have a chance of winning the next general election is because of that, people will coalesce around who is best placed to defeat Reform. As I am still on holiday here’s some first thoughts on…
Hat tip to Foxy for alerting me to this polling, the split by income has amused me no end. TSE
TSE Site notice – I am currently on holiday so blogging will be light.
Today sees the Caerphilly by-election and these are the latest odds from Ladbrokes and I think the value might be on backing Reform to poll 45% to 50% at 4/1. Last week’s Survation had them polling at 42% so a bit of sampling variation plus tactical voting from the Tories might push Reform into the 45% to 50% bracket. Whilst writing this piece I’ve also convinced myself the 50% might be worth a smaller stake too. TSE
If the King doesn’t act then Prince Andrew, the Queen’s reported favourite child, might be the best thing to happen to the republican movement since Oliver Cromwell. TSE