If the betting is correct then overnight George Galloway will become an MP again, this time for a fifth different constituency. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a result similar to the 1992 Inverness, Nairn, and Lochaber result where the winning candidate won with 26\% of the vote and a mere 3.4% covered the top four candidates. If he does become an MP again then it will be fantastic to have an MP with such a great gasp of foreign…
This market on Lee Anderson to defect to Reform on the face of it doesn’t present much value either side of the bet. If I was forced to choose I would back No with pennies. As we can see above speculation is running rampant after his shameful comments about Sadiq Khan which denounced by so many people, including Jewish people who pointed out you wouldn’t say that a Jewish mayor was controlled by Jews or Zionists. What may make this…
Just over a fortnight ago I tipped a 50% in fewer than three months when I said Sadiq Khan would achieve the largest first round victory in London mayoral history, sadly Ladbrokes have pulled that market. It feels inevitable that Sadiq Khan will win in May, PBers will have to exercise their own judgment on whether they wish to take the 1.06 available on Khan winning on Betfair. I expect the Green and Lib Dem votes will be squeezed as…
You know you’ve hit rock bottom when even Reform don’t want you, perhaps they’ve seen the polling. TSE
Former Labour councillor turned Tory MP Lee Anderson may rival Liz Truss as the greatest political sleeper agent this century. London Tories have realised the damage he is causing them the way they are publicly repudiating his divisive rhetoric. Sadly Ladbrokes have pulled their market on this year’s London Mayoral election having the widest margin of victory. As we can see above the attempts to smear Sadiq Khan fail badly. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sadiq Khan instruct m’learned…
Tory MPs are deluding themselves if they think we are heading for a 1992 redux (or indeed 2015 redux). I can only hope they are willing to back up their convictions over on the Betfair exchange. TSE
With the likelihood of having an election this year my mind went to think about the first general election I followed, which was 1992. As a callow thirteen year old I had Conservative leanings another thing that interested the geek in me was the statistics associated with a general election. What added to the excitement was the dawning realisation that the result was going against expectations, something we saw again in 2015 and 2017. I do not expect a repeat…
I feel confident that the insurrectionist former President will lose the Presidential election based on the available information and precedents. Last night’s South Carolina primary reinforced that, particularly the way Independents are breaking. There’s a been a real pattern over the last few years that the GOP do worse than the opinion polls suggests whilst inevitably the Dems do better. TSE