One of the reasons the PB editorial team love Ipsos polling is that it goes back nearly half a century so we have a lot precedents to compare their polling, which can be occasionally bouncy due to their turnout filter, but their leader satisfaction ratings also help give context. What should alarm Sunak and the Tories are their recording breaking lows, he is polling worse than Truss and Johnson at the time of their nadirs whilst the Tories hit their…
TSE
Looking at these figures both Starmer and Sunak are seen as handling events in the Holy Land very badly. I suspect this is an artefact of seeing what looks like and feels like collective punishment being delivered on the Palestinians and driving sympathy towards the Palestinians. Starmer should go on a crusade to reassure the voters that he is on their side on this issue but point out we no longer live in the Sykes-Picot era and what a UK…
This polling is why I don’t expect Galloway and his party to make much of an impact at the general election coupled with the lack of media coverage during the election campaign. TSE
Perhaps I am being harsh on Sunak and it is not hypocrisy but impotence by Sunak. Contrast Starmer’s brave and correct decision on removing the whip from Jeremy Corbyn. TSE
That chart above is quite stark, the Tory Party is now the Party of Pensioners. The Tories at their best is about aspiration and helping workers move up the ladder but now it is about featherbedding (home owning) pensioners. Why I do not think it is sustainable long term for the Tories is that you cannot continually tax workers until the pips squeak to pay for a largely economically inactive pensioner client vote, particularly when in large swathes of the…
Note: This article rightly chooses to ignore the Bristol South East by-election of 1961 due to the unique if not farcical situation of that by-election Bad Leaders of the Opposition in the last 63 years such as Michael Foot and Jeremy Corbyn lost seats they held in by-elections to the governing party. Sir Keir Starmer joined that infamous list in 2021 but there was a lot of mitigation in that, that by-election took place in the midst of the vaccine…
This morning Galloway was the favourite this morning to win the by election but as we can see now Azhar Ali, the official but disowned Labour candidate, has become the favourite but the betting markets can often be wrong. I remember the 2006 Dunfermline and West Fife by-election where when the candidates walked on to the stage Labour were the overwhelming favourites at close to 1.01 on Betfair and yet when the results were announced the Lib Dems won by…