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It seems these days every days seems to bring a new poll showing Sunak and the Tories hitting new lows that may rival the ratings of Liz Truss, the UK’s shortest serving Prime Minister. There’s two points to consider, firstly if the Tories and Sunak remain this unpopular then the polls may be underestimating them when tactical voting is considered, because my view is the higher the unpopularity the more anti-Tory tactical voting will take place. Secondly, if the polls…

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I think the Telegraph are reading too much into Penny Mordaunt’s (lack of) comments. However this is a febrile time with today’s YouGov poll showing the Tories hitting Truss levels of support and a mere 4% ahead of Reform, crossover between the possible is a possibility in the near future. If that does happen with Reform ahead of the Tories in the polls then the bowels of the Parliamentary Tory Party will loosen and the result will be an internal…

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This analysis is required reading for anybody who thinks sticking the Reform share of the vote (or a large percentage of that vote) to the Tory share of the vore is what will happen at the general election. I suspect Sunak’s wooing of these voters will also not be effective. TSE

If there’s one group in this country I absolutely wish would disappear from British politics and it is NIMBYs who seem to be a part of every major political party. The country wants more houses built, the foundation of Mrs Thatcher’s policies was helping the lower classes to own their homes. The Tories have had fourteen years to fix the housing crisis and barely scratched the surface. I can only hope a Starmer led government can fix the issues and…

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At the last election turnout was 67.3% and I might expect turnout to be higher at this election as voters mobilise to get the Tories out but I suspect turnout will be lower due to voting ID requirements change. After last year’s locals, Jacob Rees-Mogg admitted those changes were a gerrymander aka voter suppression. Rees-Mogg admitted “Parties that try and gerrymander end up finding their clever scheme comes back to bite them, as, dare I say, we found by insisting…

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It seems an unelected head of state is in effect damaging democracy by restricting the dates Sunak can hold an election by being out of the country. But one thing is clear, as has been for a long time, no May election. TSE

I am really starting to worry about Rishi Sunak on a personal level, he is utterly deluded if he thinks Susan Hall can win the London mayoralty and help Sunak win the general election. This is a bunker mentality, Sunak is investing a lot of hope, like a former Chancellor of Germany did with Felix Steiner during the Battle for Berlin, and Hall’s victory will save him from the man of steel Sir Keir Starmer’s oncoming Red Army. Bunker mentalities…

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The brain fart by Donald Trump isn’t the first one this campaign from the Ayrshire hotelier and I wonder if it will make him less effective this campaign, the man who came up with insults like little Marco Rubio etc doesn’t have that power. It also makes any criticisms against Biden less effective. More troubling for ‘Billionaire’ Trump is legal difficulties have in a phrase that gets used a lot in Yorkshire left Trump without a pot to piss in….

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