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Like the Brexit referendum there’s a plethora of evidence that voters regret how they voted in the AV referendum. Like Brexit I expect the gap to get wider as the reality of decision confronts voters. Winning a majority of 174 on a vote share of 33.7%, FPTP seems iniquitous. It isn’t out of the realms of the possibility that Labour wins an even bigger majority at the next election with a lower share of the vore whilst the Tories and…

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I suspect if Nigel Farage intends to remain Donald Trump’s personal proctologist then his and Reform’s ratings will take a hit. TSE

TSE

Prior to the general election I said many times one of the reasons I expected the Tories to get absolutely shellacked was their handling of the cost of living crisis. Labour have four and a half years to turn things around, if they do not then I would expect them to get similarly shellacked. TSE

As the old joke goes the only reason the Pyramids are still in Egypt is that they were too heavy for the British to steal. Quite rightly Brits don’t want to handle stolen goods. TSE

If Musk via his companies makes permissible donations to Farage’s party to the value reported then would be a game changer in some respects. Whilst there are spending limits during election periods, outside that a £100 million donation would help Reform to target voters and make their vote more efficient. As Kamala Harris can attest there’s not automaticity that outspending your opponents leads you to winning the election. I also expect a foreigner trying to impact a general election will…

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One thing that could allow Starmer to break his election promises about tax rises on income tax and other certain taxes would be increased defence spending due to the actions of the Russian bear and the rhetoric of the incoming US President. If you’re worried about nuclear war then I suggest you watch the 1984 film Threads which is currently available to watch on the BBC iPlayer, click this link here. TSE

If you think Elon Musk will be proven right then you might want to get over to Betfair and back Reform to win the most seats at the next election. This isn’t a market I am dabbling in for the time being. The Ayrshire hotelier’s plans for tariffs will bugger up the UK economy and whilst a Labour Prime Minister would be correct in this instance to say ‘it started in America’ that will not be much comfort for voters…

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