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Author: TSE

Reform voters face a lonely future, being a Starmer or Davey supporter gets you dates

Reform voters face a lonely future, being a Starmer or Davey supporter gets you dates

I love polling like this because it is a good proxy for tactical voting. For Reform and Farage supporters I wouldn’t get too despondent, I was a Tory in London in the early 2000s so I know what it feels like when your politics is seen as unappealing, just keep your Trump and Farage support quiet. TSE Site notice – I am currently on holiday until the 1st of March

The betting moves sharply to the Greens today in Gorton & Denton

The betting moves sharply to the Greens today in Gorton & Denton

I am not sure what has inspired this movement, in the past it usually a legitimate poll that triggers movements like this given how Reform and Labour have both fallen. So I wouldn’t be surprised to see a proper poll published in the next few days, hopefully it will be a poll which has a larger sample size than 143, my flabber is still ghasted that Find Out Now conducted a poll that they admitted wasn’t statistically relevant. TSE Site…

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The Labour brand is the most liked, the Starmer brand less so

The Labour brand is the most liked, the Starmer brand less so

The pollster I like a lot is Ipsos is because of their history going back fifty years, they regularly produce polling like this. The general rule is if a party leader is more liked than their party then the party will poll better than the polls suggest and the opposite is true if a party leader trails their party, so on this basis Ed Davey, Zack Polanski, and Kemi Badenoch are positives for their parties whereas Sir Keir Starmer and…

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Could Labour hold Gorton and Denton?

Could Labour hold Gorton and Denton?

My view on private polling and canvass reports like this is that they are as reliable as Scottish sub-sample made up of 9 people in Inverkeithing or a poll of 143 residents in the constituency so I take these reports with huge dollops of cynicism. I am not backing Labour based on these reports. TSE

An effective ad?

An effective ad?

Normally most social media content from political parties make me cringe so hard my size eleven feet shrink to a size six but I liked this one, it’s the soundtrack that makes this content perfect. TSE