The changing face of the electorate
This should help left leaning parties overall is my expectation but this may the lives of opinion pollsters even harder as younger people are harder to sample. TSE
Make your suggestions
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History today
For me the single most significant event this millenium is the great financial crisis. I think it led to an expectation for the electorate that bailouts for the banks would become de rigueur for all companies if they ever got into difficulties and when non banks weren’t bailed out that led to resentment, particularly as living standards didn’t improve. I think it explains in part things like Brexit and Trump. TSE
Great expectations for 2025
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This poll is barking
This poll from More in Common is utterly barking in my view, the two best breeds, Huskies and Malamutes, aren’t listed. I’d love to know why Green voters think a poodle would be the best PM. TSE
Could becoming a republic be the only way to keep Scotland in the Union?
Yesterday an interesting piece of polling was published INDEPENDENCE support would rise to 59% from 54% if it meant Scotland would be a republic, a new poll shows. Support for independence was found to have risen to 54% when undecided voters are excluded earlier this month in poll commissioned by The Times following the Scottish Budget. Campaign group Believe in Scotland (BiS) commissioned pollsters Norstat to ask the same panel if Scotland removing the King as head of state would affect how they…
That don’t impress me much
When it comes to Kemi Badenoch the public appear to be channelling Shania Twain and her seminal track ‘That don’t impress me much’, they are similarly unimpressed by the Tories. The latter finding isn’t that surprising considering the Tories suffered their worst general election defeat since Methuselah was a lad and the former finding isn’t surprising either given that Kemi Badenoch was a prominent member of the last government. What must sting for Kemi Badenoch is that she is doing…
When will the 32 counties reunite?
Ladbrokes have a couple of markets up on Irish reunification and to be honest they feel like giving Ladbrokes an interest free loan for five years. The trigger for an Irish border poll is codified unlike Scottish independence and for me the trigger will be Sinn Féin winning the most Westminster seats (ideally whilst they are in power in Dublin) and I cannot see both of those happening prior to 2030. TSE