Annoying your core vote 2019 Tory style
TSE
My my
Once more, could a British led European alliance be the key to victory? The key reason I thought Donald Trump would win last year was the economy, so these types of findings are key to who wins the midterms and 2028 election. Assuming free and fair elections are held in 2026 and 2028 then if I were a GOP strategist I would be very worried. TSE
Is Mark Kelly an out of this world suggestion to win in 2028?
Assuming there are free and fair elections in 2028 then I think there there is value in backing Senator Mark Kelly to win the presidency in 2028. He has a compelling backstory, a former veteran of the Gulf War, an astronaut, husband of Gabby Giffords, annoyer of Elon Musk, Senator, and as we can see from the clips above a pretty good questioner of the idiocy of the second Trump presidency. I also think he would carry the key state…
Do you fancy a 2% return in a week?
If the answer is yes to the question in the headline then this Ladbrokes market is for you. TSE
The Canadian petri dish
Former Governor of the Bank of England turned Prime Minister of Canada Mark Carney has called an election for the 28th of April and this will be a test if Donald Trump’s interventions can shape elections outside of Les Etats-Unis. As we can see in the chart above we can see Trump’s interventions have moved voting intentions but will this translate into real votes. If Donald Trump’s strategy was to win over Canadians he has been so bad at it,…
Labour are starting to own the economy
The final chart from YouGov might mean Labour will lose their defence of blaming the Tories for the state of the economy. TSE
A new public funding model
With UK government borrowing at an estimated £120 billion a year it is clear that tax-and-spend will no longer work in terms of investing in order to generate growth. The Covid pandemic saw governments across the globe borrow through Quantitative Easing (QE) in order to finance the extraordinary situation. The UK government borrowed some £400 billion in order to get through the crisis mostly via QE. Very little of that money was invested for the long-term. Most went on furlough…
The Tory irrelevance continues
I have said for a while that the biggest threat for the Tories is that the narrative for the next election is a fight between Labour and Reform, this polling reinforces that. If Kemi Badenoch wants to become Prime Minister it is a narrative she needs to destroy and reshape. TSE