Perhaps I’ve judged Corbyn wrong as new Ipsos MORI poll sees Corbyn’s Labour catapult 8% to 34%

Perhaps I’ve judged Corbyn wrong as new Ipsos MORI poll sees Corbyn’s Labour catapult 8% to 34%

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Latest @IpsosMORI poll for The @standardnews Con 49 (nc) Lab 34 (+8) LD 7 (-7) Greens 3 (+2) UKIP 2 (-2)https://t.co/duZvfM95v3 — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 18, 2017   Today’s Ipsos MORI poll lived it to its being a cracker hype. Having been a trenchant critic of Corbyn I’m struggling to comprehend a world where he polls a share of the vote close to that which delivered majorities for both Tony Blair and David Cameron. As it stands the Tories won’t…

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New YouGov poll carried out on Tuesday and Wednesday has CON lead down to 13%

New YouGov poll carried out on Tuesday and Wednesday has CON lead down to 13%

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And Corbyn’s “Best PM ratings” continue to rise With so many surveys coming out from so many firms at the moment a key factor is to look at the fieldwork dates. This latest one from YouGov was carried out on Tuesday and Wednesday and sees the Tory lead at its smallest in any poll from any pollster this month. The LD share continues to tumble while the UKIP is double what it was at the weekend. The fieldwork was carried…

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NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Discussing today’s GfK / Business Insider survey results

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Discussing today’s GfK / Business Insider survey results

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On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Adam Bienkov and Adam Payne from Business Insider UK to discuss today’s GfK/Business Insider poll results. The panel discuss the scale of the Conservative lead, what’s happened to the Lib Dems and why Jeremy Corbyn’s approval ratings are improving (and why it probably won’t matter). They also discuss what’s behind May’s approval rating plus interesting findings from the survey that suggest Tony Blair is less popular than Jeremy Corbyn. The discussion…

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The pressure on the President heralds the return of Marf

The pressure on the President heralds the return of Marf

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We’ve not seen a Marf cartoon on PB for some time but that all changes this afternoon with this drawing on Donald Trump who clearly is under a lot of pressure. I’m hoping that there maybe more from her during the closing stages of GE2017 and beyind. The twin issues of the sacking of FBI director, Comey and the allegation that he gave secret intelligence to the Russian foreign have today led to the first Republican law-maker talk of impeachment….

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Philip Hammond looks as though he’s for the chop following the June 8th landslide

Philip Hammond looks as though he’s for the chop following the June 8th landslide

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when someone brings up something you did last night pic.twitter.com/4tG2UdUt7B — Esther Webber (@estwebber) May 17, 2017 @iainmartin1 They look like one of those Tory couples in the 1990s snapped at the garden gate after the minister's been in the News of the World — Patrick Kidd (@patrick_kidd) May 17, 2017 What was scheduled to be a Conservative event to attack the LAB manifesto has set off all sorts of speculation about the Chancellor, Philip Hammond. Theresa May was asked…

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Punters move against Trump on the “will he survive ” markets

Punters move against Trump on the “will he survive ” markets

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Analysis | Trump's careening toward an inevitable showdown with an undeniable truth https://t.co/3idPwpv94X — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 17, 2017 If the UK was not in the middle of a general election campaign then the political news that would be dominating things at the moment would be from Washington. The sacking earlier in the month of of the FBI director Comey followed by this week’s revelations that Trump might have disclosed intelligence secrets to the the Russian foreign minister have…

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Team Corbyn’s aim is not to win the election but to keep control of the LAB party

Team Corbyn’s aim is not to win the election but to keep control of the LAB party

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Could matching EdM’s GE2015 vote share of 31.2% really stave off a challenge? I broadly agree with the above analysis of that Team Corbyn’s basic objective is not to win the election but to do enough to keep their man leader. If LAB achieves a GB vote share of 31.2%, which is what the party did in 2015, then they hope the blame for the defeat can be put on the collapse of UKIP not JC. You can see this…

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CONFIRMED: The pre-GE2017 PB gathering: Friday May 26th: from 6.30pm: Close to St Paul’s in London

CONFIRMED: The pre-GE2017 PB gathering: Friday May 26th: from 6.30pm: Close to St Paul’s in London

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The pre-GE2017 PB gathering will take place at the Lord Raglan pub, 61 St Martins le Grand, St Pauls EC1A 4ER. An area downstairs called the Fireplace has been booked. Thanks once again to Fat Steve for finding a new more suitable venue and for making the arrangements. As well as being close to St Paul’s the Lord Raglan is only minutes walk away from Farringdon and City Thameslink stations with their direct links to Gatwick and Luton airports, Brighton…

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