The latest Tory leadership betting
In exactly a fortnight Tory MPs start voting in this election under the exhaustive ballot voting system which can be described as quasi-AV. TSE
Betfair punters remember this is a close race
I have to admit this has happened sooner than I expected, I thought the Harris lead on Betfair would widen this week due to the convention then narrow in September. I’ll reiterate this election is Trump’s election to lose but the momentum, pace Betfair, is with Harris. TSE
Oh, the humanities
When I chose my A Levels I chose Maths, Further Maths, Physics, and History which helped me become the success I am today so like Tom Calver I am shocked and worried to see people who aren’t mixing and matching their A Level choices as before. TSE
Will the Ayatollahs decide the US election?
The smart money seems to be moving to Kamala Harris as she rides a wave of Democratic party enthusiasm and her polling shows an edge in key swing states. Although one should always remember the old adage that no ordinary voter switches on to the candidates before Labor Day, there’s a feeling building that this may well be Trump’s last stand. A successful convention this week and a big speech by the Vice President may further secure the polls. Seems…
This could be Cleverly’s moment
I’ve been saying for a while the value might be with James Cleverly, somebody I respect said Cleverly could win in the way William Hague won in 1997 by being everybody’s second choice in the early rounds. This polling commissioned and released by Team Cleverly is a good move, in the past we’d hear about private polling showing X which could be dismissed as spin. Under BPC rules this polling has to be published by Wednesday. I would prefer to…
This should help Farage be re-elected in Clacton
The people of Clacton who voted for Farage last month will be glad he is continuing his battle against the wealthy global elites and putting Clacton on the map. When the next general election takes place I am sure Farage will be able to use his income from GB News and trips like this as a positive, the sums involved will be considered chickenfeed by the voters of Clacton. Perhaps with all this money Nigel Farage can finally afford a…
Four weeks is a long time in politics
This time exactly four weeks ago Joe Biden was the presumptive Democratic Party nominee and Donald Trump was the overwhelming favourite to win November’s election but as we can see things can change in the polls and with that betting chart from the last month. I think the biggest change is just how incoherent and old Trump looks now, no wonder he wanted Biden to be his opponent. Saying he is much better looking than Kamala Harris isn’t going to…
Does Kemi Badenoch hate Northerners?
Inevitability her rivals have seized upon this. It is interesting this is yet another negative story about Kemi Badenoch. Somebody clearly doesn’t want her to succeed Sunak, and who can blame them? If she were to win I think she will turn out to be the female IDS and deposed before she could lead the Tories at the general election. TSE