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Cook Political Report We have had a fair go at Betfair in recent days for its failure to settle the main WH2020 which, according to its initial market rules, would be based on which candidate had the most projected Electoral College Votes. This was something that was settled in the eyes of the US media exactly four weeks ago today. That was enough for just about the rest of the UK betting industry to settle the main market including Betfair’s…

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The government’s just introduced another constitutional time-bomb Rather quietly, the government announced this week the death sentence for the unfairly unloved Fixed-Term Parliaments Act. In truth, it was not that bad a piece of legislation; one which took a power away from the executive and handed it to parliament, at least in small measure. However, two snap elections in a row – one of which came about by circumventing the Act’s provisions – undermined any sense of a new state…

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The girl from the Leeds comprehensive on +75.4% while Etonian Boris just +2.9% I do like the way month by month CON home carries its survey of the views of party members on Cabinet ministers and the latest has a new leader – Liz Truss Secretary of State for International Trade and President of the Board of Trade and former President of the Oxford University Liberal Democrats. Given that it is the party membership that ultimately elects the leader and,…

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Sore loser and lame duck President, Trump, is planing to visit Georgia in the next two days in order to give his backing to GOP contenders in the two senate runoff races that take place on January 5th. The outcome could have massive consequences for if the Democrats can take both seats then there will be a 50/50 split in the US Senate with the Vice President, Kamala Harris, having the casting vote. Georgia has a unique electoral rule that…

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Let me begin with an apology to the Gambling Commission.   I have often badmouthed them, here and elsewhere, but a long conversation recently with one of their staff has caused me to revise my views.   The subject was principally Betfair’s long delay in settling various markets in connection with the recent US Presidential Elections.   The Commission cannot intervene in individual disputes but it does hold a brief to ‘regulate commercial gambling in Great Britain in partnership with…

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“Fatta la legge, trovato l’inganno.” Every law has a loophole. Though many Italians view it less as a description, more an order, a necessity, even, if life is to be bearable. Find the loopholes and stretch the rules to their limits. It is an approach which comes from a long history of mistrust of often distant, capricious, arbitrary rulers, a belief that the state’s benefits are, as has often been the case, doled out to favourites, to those clever enough…

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