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Even today with the Electoral College meeting Betfair punters rate Trump’s chances at 3%

14/12/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

As the Betdarta.io chart shows the Betfair WH2020 is still open more than five weeks after other bookies settled Biden as the winner. The total of matched bets on Betfair is now heading for £1.7m BILLION which is up more than billion since the other bookies settled their markets in the weekend after the election. What has driven the continuation of this market has been the readiness of some punters to bet on Donald Trump even though the numbers are…

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Some Definitions

13/12/2020 CycleFree Comments 0 Comment

“Democracy in Europe” by Larry Siedentop, written when the EU was trying to draft a constitution is, despite its age, worth a read. Surprising as it may seem, given the US’s own current democratic difficulties, the outsider’s analysis of what constitutions mean, how they are arrived at, different views of democracy and how these interact with a Continent’s history, culture and religions is acute. It is one which European and British politicians would have done well to consider before embarking…

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The Trump denial saga: 8 Republicans elected to the House last month backed move which would have cost them their seats

13/12/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The failure of Trump to win re-election last month and his absolute determination not to acknowledge the fact is creating some amazing oddities for the Republican party. The latest legal appeal that went to the Supreme Court was actually backed by more than 100 members of the House of Representatives and 8 of them were from the four states where Trump is trying to annul the results. The reason they felt pressured to do this and why there has been…

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The Martingale system

13/12/2020 Editor Comments 0 Comment

It’s not exactly gone as Leavers planned, has it? We’ve reached the stage where they’re angrily blaming everyone else for the outcome, while simultaneously trying to claim that it’s glorious. It’s hard not to wince watching them doing the splits. For it turns out that many of the things that Remainers said were true. It wasn’t possible to leave the EU with the exact same benefits. It wasn’t the easiest deal in history. The eagles aren’t coming and the German…

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Merry Christmas: rising Covid cases, No Deal Brexit, recession and maybe lockdown

12/12/2020 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Yet the government remains surprisingly popular – for now This is the end. Not the real end, of course. There is no real end; just the start of another chapter. But as far as Brexit goes, that’s it: no more can-kicking, no more transition periods, no more rule-taking. Out. There is a slim chance that the UK and EU might, even at this late stage, strike a trade deal. The two sides are still talking, genuine and quick movement clearly…

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The Supreme Court rejects the move by Texas to overturn Biden’s victory

12/12/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Now there are no barriers to the Electoral College meeting on Monday Overnight (UK time) the Supreme Court in Washington rejected the bid by the State of Texas to overturn President-elect Biden’s election win in what must be seen as a devastating blow to the long-shot legal efforts by Trump and his supporters to stave off his electoral defeat. This comes ahead of the meeting of the Electoral College on Monday where Biden’s victory will be confirmed and hopefully be a…

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This isn’t going to go down well in White House – Trump named “Loser of the Year”

11/12/2020 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

This moves comes 5 weeks after it became clear that Trump had lost the election something that he has totally refused to accept. Such is his influence within the Republican party that 100+ party members of the House and the vast majority of members of the Senate feel unable to go on the record of acknowledging that Joe Biden will be next President. As part of his effort to delegitimise the outcome Trump has been maintaining in the key states…

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In other news

11/12/2020 Editor Comments 0 Comment

What important news has slipped by barely noticed recently? The planet continues to warm up If you aren’t worried enough about Covid-19, try a side serving of global warming to keep you awake at night. This year should have been relatively cool, given that it was a year with La Nina, the converse of El Nino. But it seems to have been the third warmest on record for the planet. The last decade (2011-2020) was announced as the hottest on…

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