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Trump’s desperate attempt to bully the Georgia Secretary of State shows the lengths he’ll go to hang on

4/1/2021 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Make America Great Again – say goodbye to Trump The big Trump news overnight has been the above attempt by the President to find a way of hanging on in there. Just listening to it he sounds desperate and there are on 16 days left till Biden’s inauguration. Tonight Trump will now doubt bleat on again with his big electoral fraud lie at a rally in Georgia ahead of tomorrow’s runoff Senate election. The day after there is what is…

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Labour’s paths to victory: the choices of Sir Keir Starmer

3/1/2021 Editor Comments 0 Comment

The wheel turns. In 2005, Labour won 355 seats, a majority of 64. The Conservatives got just 198. But last year, the Conservatives took 365 seats, a majority of 80, while Labour secured just 202. The two elections as close to exact reverses of each other as you’ll ever get for the major parties. Labour would like to turn the tables again. In order to do so, they’ll need to decide how this is achievable. In essence, they have three…

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After a quick & successful vaccine rollout, this is the second most thing I want to see in 2021

3/1/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

On New Year’s Eve The Spectator dropped a very interesting story. As many hospitals struggle to cope with a surge of Covid-19 patients, the most important judgement yet to be made about 2020 is how much difference it would have made had England been pre-emptively locked down in September. This is not an academic question. Because there were two separate occasions in September when the prime minister’s political and scientific advisers urged him to impose tough national restrictions and suppress…

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Defence review

3/1/2021 Editor Comments 0 Comment

The Integrated Review: Fighting the Last War But One Rather than actually deliver the 2020 Strategic Defense and Security Review the government took the innovative view that the nation’s strategic goals and security needs could be better met by delaying it a year and giving it the pithy title of The Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Foreign Policy and Development. The review has now been scheduled, with a high degree of precision, to be delivered in ‘early 2021’. Part of…

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Trump preparing for GOP losses in the Georgia runoffs? He Tweets that the races are “illegal and invalid”

2/1/2021 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

CBS – YouTube Could this depress the Republican vote? This is from the New York Times: Mr. Trump has continued to make the false claim that Georgia’s election system was rigged against him in the Nov. 3 general election. Some Republican leaders are afraid that his supporters will take the president’s argument seriously, and decide that voting in a “corrupt” system is not worth their time, a development that could hand the election to the Democrats. Some strategists and political…

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David Herdson’s 2021 predictions

2/1/2021 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

So that was Brexit. The defining political issue in the UK of the last half-decade is now done. Not that the story entirely ends there. Brexit was just one more chapter in the long story of Britain’s relationship with the continent, and as that geographic fact remains, so must the further development of that story. But not with the same intensity for the time being. 2021 will be the first year in several where domestic politics will not be dominated…

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The Democrats edge into the lead in latest polls for Tuesday’s Georgia runoffs

1/1/2021 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Polling average from Nate Silver’s site With just three days to go before the crucial elections in Georgia the latest polls indicate a move to the Democratic contenders, Ossoff and Warnock, who now have slight leads in the Nate Silver polling averages. The margins are still very tight indeed and clearly everything depends on turnout. We do know that more than 3.3 million people have already passed the ballots split about two to one to voting in person over by…

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Happy New Year and a big thank you

1/1/2021 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

On March 23rd eleven weeks away PB will be celebrating its 17th birthday making the site just about the longest lasting UK political blog. On this day at the start of the new year I’d like to acknowledge all those who have made PB the site that it is. To Robert my son whose idea it was in the first place and who continues to manage PB’s technical side; to TSE for all the support he has given me and…

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