politicalbetting.com

This is very firm QTWTAIN contender, simply because I cannot see how Reform do well in London, especially as the voting system in 2028 will be the supplementary vote system which I expect to be unfavourable to Reform. As a Strictly superfan I suspect he won’t be the winner where I think the value might be Alex Kingston, who famously played River Song in Doctor Who. The wife of the Doctor dancing and winning is currently around 16/1. Harry Aikines-Aryeetey…

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Ladbrokes have finally put up a market on which party will win the most seats at next year’s Senedd election. The polling currently indicates Reform are on course to win most seats but I think the value might be on Labour at 5/1 if there’s any swingback to the governing party, it might also be a good petri dish to see if there’s any tactical voting against Reform, although Plaid Cymru might also benefit from that too. It is entirely…

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I am of the view elections will always be determined by the economy so this trend should worry Labour, it’s not good for them or the country that the difficulty in getting a job is heading towards pandemic levels. TSE

The only positive I can see for Labour is they are seen as moderate but that’s scraping the barrel. TSE

It’s easy to make fun of Liz Truss but I do hope her nearest and dearest have words with her to help her to come to terms with the trauma of being the shortest serving Prime Minister other than the Duke of Wellington’s shorter caretaker term. It says so much about her tenure that her party ousted her after fewer than fifty days but that’s what happens when you spook the markets, there’s no bizarre left wing market forces who…

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We have a new set of proposals for changes to UK motoring law in the press yesterday, prominently around eyesight for the elderly, and a slightly lower drink driving limit. It is actually more comprehensive than that, and is being framed by the Government as a “Road Safety Strategy”. This piece is some initial reflections – a “quick take”, so not as heavily referenced as I would like. The Starmer Government have been talking about different issues in a piecemeal…

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The cost of living was a major factor in the shellacking the Tories received last year and it hasn’t gone away. TSE

Looking at this market from Star Sports I am not sure there’s any value in this market but people may disagree with that. TSE