If you think Elon Musk will be proven right then you might want to get over to Betfair and back Reform to win the most seats at the next election. This isn’t a market I am dabbling in for the time being. The Ayrshire hotelier’s plans for tariffs will bugger up the UK economy and whilst a Labour Prime Minister would be correct in this instance to say ‘it started in America’ that will not be much comfort for voters…
INTRODUCTION A few days ago Cyclefree wrote an article on the assisted dying bill. I promised I’d reply but when I came to write it my mind moved to points orthogonal to a simple point-counterpoint and my article took on a life of its own. Consequently I present it to you here, not in an attempt to provide answers but pose questions, which I hope you will consider. RELIGION We speak rarely of religion in these secular times, but I…
It is a personal bugbear of mine that there are too many councils and there should be more unitary councils, thankfully Sir Keir Starmer is listening to me with the biggest local government reform since Ted Heath was Prime Minister. The Times are reporting that Dozens of councils will be abolished in the biggest overhaul of local government in more than 50 years under plans being drawn up by ministers. Essex, Kent, Surrey and Hertfordshire will be among the counties…
Tomorrow is shaping up to be a pivotal moment in parliamentary history my hunch is that the vote will pass tomorrow but fail on future readings and/or get amended to death* by the unelected Lords. I cannot see any betting markets on tomorrow’s vote. TSE *Pun intended
TSE
I hope you all appreciated part one. Part two will have slightly more insight. The odds have been taken from William Hill [as of 24/11/2024]. Galway East [4 Seats] This constituency is very intriguing. FG have decided to field three candidates in attempting to return two TDs, however I believe this will backfire and they might only return one TD. Sean Canney (Independent), odds: 1/12Albert Dolan (Fianna Fail), odds: 4/11Pete Roche (Fine Gael), odds: 2/5Louis O’Hara (Sinn Fein), odds: 11/4…
With only a few days to the election, I wanted to share some insight to the upcoming Irish Election. Ireland is currently experiencing many issues including the housing crisis alongside the immigration problem. All the odds will be from William Hill [as of 22/11/2024]. Carlow – Kilkenny [5 Seats] Fianna Fáil are gearing up to attempt a hat-trick, however the Irish Election is set to be competitive and I believe they will be content returning two TDs. Jennifer Murnane O’Connor…
Will the Supreme Court (“SC”) deprive women of their sex-based rights? This week we have a hearing which will be the UK’s equivalent of the US’s Dobbs case, which limited rights which women had taken for granted for a long time. (Contrary to what some may rush to assume, this case is not about trans rights but about the rights of women – 51% of the population and not, therefore, a trivial matter. Nor is it about culture. Legal rights…