I am not sure who to back in this market but I think might be a market where the profitable option would be lay rather than back. One thing that makes this election so exciting is that this election will be conducted under the alternative vote system rather than archaic and flawed first past the post system which should favour the most transfer friendly candidate. One thing which should be noted as the eligibility to participate in this election was…
Taking back control from our unelected rulers for a new generation. TSE
I just cannot see why a party with a working majority of 157 would go for an early election in 2027. I am asking Betfair to put a up a year of the next election market because I would be laying 2027 like there’s no tomorrow. If the polls are as dire in 2027 as they are now then surely Labour would wait for as long as they could try and turn things around by 2029. My expectation is that…
In the excitement about Angela Rayner’s tax minimisation strategies there was a More in Common poll about next year’s Holyrood elections and John Swinney’s strategy might be working. Although I wouldn’t Relax when seeing this poll because No still leads Yes in this poll 52% to 48%. A few weeks ago I tipped backing the SNP to win the most seats at 1/6 which is now 1/12 which I don’t think represents value now. Ladbrokes are offering a second place…
This is the penultimate in a series looking at the 7 main Great Britain parties. The main focus will be on the Green Party of England and Wales, but we’ll also look at the separate Scottish Greens. Let me start with a question. Since 2010, the Green Party of England and Wales has had 7 leaders or co-leaders, how many can you name? Vote share The main challenge for the Green Party in England and Wales is simple: national vote…
Sir Laurie Magnus’s Report was kinder than it could have been to Angela Rayner. Rather worse than her not taking legal advice was that she lied about having taken such advice, a point his report ignored. The moral of her departure from government is simply this: pay attention to what your lawyer tells you. When he or she “recommends” something, they are not suggesting one pudding over another. A lawyer’s “Recommend” means: “You’d be a bloody fool not to do…
Today is the third anniversary of Liz Truss becoming Prime Minister and earlier on this week she didn’t rule out a return to frontline politics and this polling confirms what people think about her tenure. If Liz Truss is to return to politics I cannot shake the feeling she will end up in Reform, Ladbrokes are offering a market on Boris Johnson defecting to Reform, I’d love to see a market about Liz Truss defecting to Reform. I have never…
I think it is amusing that Angela Rayner is still rated as a better chance of becoming PM than the Chancellor which says so much about tenure of Rachel Reeves. TSE