The City of London: November 26th 2009 at 18.30

The City of London: November 26th 2009 at 18.30

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Wikimedia Commons Join the informal PB gathering Thanks to the initiative of Fat Steve there’ll be an informal PB get-together in the City, near Liverpool Street station, on Thursday November 26th. Unlike previous events this will be highly informal – a sort of “after-work drinks” for London-based PBers or those who can get there easily. Steve has found a location in a pub where it’s hoped that we can have our own area and already sixteen people have signed up….

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Should Rod Liddle avoid political predicting?

Should Rod Liddle avoid political predicting?

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Spectator How can he come up with such a distortion? I’ve clipped the above Rod Liddle piece from the Spectator site.(HatTip – The Screaming Eagles) In it he argues that we might be leading to a 1992-type result. Who knows? But the evidence he presents in support of his case does not match the facts. He writes that in the weeks leading up to the Glasgow NE by election “the average of a bunch of opinion polls showed the Tory…

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Is Blair back in the frame again for the EU job?

Is Blair back in the frame again for the EU job?

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Should you be getting your money on Tony With decision time getting very close in the EU Presidency race there’s an intriguing blog this morning from the Telegraph’s Ben Brogan. He writes “… this is what I hear. Gordon Brown is still batting ..even though he could have pulled the plug, and is doing another round with the other EU leaders even now. His point to them is quite robust: after weeks of messing about with rumpy pumpy Belgians and…

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Is this what Cameron gets for abandoning the referendum?

Is this what Cameron gets for abandoning the referendum?

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What will it do to the political climate? One of the things that we see repeatedly is that it’s often not the numbers in polls that matter but how the findings are covered in the media that has commissioned them. So on a morning when the Guardian is reporting its ICM poll with a sharp cut-back in the Tory lead the big slant is about “Cameron closing the deal“. This is based on non-voting questions about how respondents rated him…

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Labour move to highest ICM share since April

Labour move to highest ICM share since April

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CON 42%(42) LAB 29%(25) LD 19%(21) OTHERS 10% (12) [LAB/CON 69% (59.5)] But they are still in the 20s with the Tories in the 40s The latest survey in the longest standing polling series in the UK – ICM in the Guardian – has some good news for Mr. Brown following Labour’s by election success in Glasgow last Thursday. Although the Tories are on a standstill at 42 Labour sees a sharp move upwards of four points. My guess is…

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Will Labour get an ICM and a MORI boost?

Will Labour get an ICM and a MORI boost?

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Could the by-election have given them a lift? Most of the fieldwork for the weekend’s polls took place before news of Labour big victory in the by election came through. That won’t be the case with the two phone polls from ICM and MORI where the fieldwork started on Friday and finished last night. Generally polls that are undertaken in the immediate aftermath of by elections give the winner a boost if only because of the extra exposure in the…

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Could Cameron lose the Battle of Swaffam?

Could Cameron lose the Battle of Swaffam?

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“Sorry, no, I have never said I’m anti-women. I have got absolutely nothing against women. Who cooks my lunch? Who cooks my dinner? How did my wonderful three children appear? Women, you can’t do without them. My god, take my wife.” What does she do for a living? “What does she do? She looks after me. Looks after the children. Runs the house.” The above is attributed to SW Norfolk Tory big-wig, Sir Jeremy Bagge, in a Telegraph interview by…

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