How PB’s 50/1 star tipster missed out on making a bet

How PB’s 50/1 star tipster missed out on making a bet

And is this a first for Mail and Guardian front pages? For political punters, surely, the saddest aspect of the selection of Baroness Ashton as the first EU High Commissioner is that PB’s Morus (AKA Greg Callus) who posted his exclusive tip here on November 9th, was unable to place a bet himself. He’s currently on a Fulbright scholarship at Columbia University in New York and there’s a very strict ban on US residents betting with foreign bookmakers So Greg…

Read More Read More

Has Morus’s 50/1 shot come in?

Has Morus’s 50/1 shot come in?

Victory in the EU race for the pollster’s spouse New is just coming out of the names of the two people who will be proposed afor the EU’s top jobs. They are Belgian Prime Minister Herman Van Rompuy the presidency and Britain’s Baroness Ashton as the EU’s foreign policy chief. The latter was tipped here by PB’s Morus, Greg Callus, when she was still 50/1. Baroness Ashton was in the cabinet until last year when she was appointed to take…

Read More Read More

Has Brown let himself to be spooked by Cameron?

Has Brown let himself to be spooked by Cameron?

“…..It’s as if he thinks that, if only he can make one more titanic effort, the scales will suddenly fall from the public’s eyes and the Tories will stand revealed as the wicked, malevolent force he thinks they are, and Brown will be bathed in virtuous sunlight as the country’s great protector. Brown is entitled to think this. But it’s a fantasy. Smart politics ought to have a bigger and more supple vision than that in times like these…”– Martin…

Read More Read More

Is Labour coming out worse from this than the Tories?

Is Labour coming out worse from this than the Tories?

Telegraph How’s it going to affect the party political battle? My first reaction when I saw the front page of this morning’s Telegraph was, I guess, hardly unique – what was the political affiliation of the six who appear to form the next stage of the ongoing expenses saga? For until the election is over and the votes are counted we are going to be in a high-octane political atmosphere as the Tories sense victory and Labour tries to hold…

Read More Read More

Do these numbers smash the Number 10 fantasy?

Do these numbers smash the Number 10 fantasy?

UKPollingReport “Government’s always recover” – eh? There is a notion which seems to be deeply ingrained in the minds of many pundits and Labour figures that there is some immutable law of polling that says that Governments always recover by election day. This is summed up by the following from Martin Bright in the Spectator tomorrow:- He notes that in Downing Street “…a rather desperate numbers game is being played. It starts with an assumption that the Labour vote has…

Read More Read More

What’ll the speech do to the election campaign?

What’ll the speech do to the election campaign?

Or is this just an irrelevance? So there we have it. The hardy annual ritual of the Queen’s Speech when David Cameron and Gordon Brown have to walk alongside each other as they progress from the House of Commons to the House of Lords. There was a time when this was a much bigger news event than it is today because it was the event that saw the revelation of the legislative programme. Mr. Brown has downgraded it a touch…

Read More Read More

Who is getting on the Green party bus?

Who is getting on the Green party bus?

Are the LDs most vulnerable? There is a widespread assumption that the party most likely to suffer if the Greens increase their general election vote share will be the Lib Dems. The latest ComRes poll had them on a chunky 6%. On the face of it they seem to be targeting the same groups but is it actually the case that Nick Clegg’s party has most to fear? This is the second part of some analysis I’ve been doing on…

Read More Read More