Evening Standard Who’ll be the new favourite as Cameron’s successor? The big news in London politics this lunchtime has been that Boris Johnson has ended the speculation and announced that he will be running for a second term as Mayor in 2012. This has an impact on two betting markets – who’ll be the next Mayor and who’ll be the next Tory leader. For, amazingly, given he’s not been an MP since 2008, Boris has become the favourite to take…
Is the Mirror the only one to get it right? Above are the front pages from the main tabloids which are not too bad for the coalition. Labour’s only voice in what used to be called Fleet Street, the Daily Mirror, put the emphasis on this afternoon’s final world cup group game for England with only a passing reference to the Chancellor’s statement. We should always be wary of instant reactions to budgets. As a general rule governments tend to…
Surely he should be saying something substantive? Listeners to Radio 5Live this morning were treated to a furious attack on Mr. David Miliband by former Lib Dem leader, Paddy Ashdown following his “dumb waiter” description of Nick Clegg. (Listen here after about 2 hours and 28 minutes) It provoked Ashdown to reveal for the first time how the elder Miliband failed to respond on that critical Tuesday when a LAB-LD deal looked possible. If DM had acted then maybe the…
Are the yellows the coalition’s “weakest link”? The fury that’s come from Labour against the Lib Dems today has been a sight to behold – and a reflection of why an LD-LAB deal after the election was never going to happen. First we had the massive barracking of Clegg at his first Deputy PMs questions only to be followed by Labour’s response to Osborne’s budget. The question now, though, is whether the high-tempo Labour budget attacks are going to resonate…
The PB budget thread
Evening Standard blogs Could the ex-leader vote oppose the coalition budget? Reproduced above is part of a piece that was posted last night by the Evening Standard political writer, Paul Waugh. Clearly Kennedy, who was leader of the party until being forced out in the first week of 2006, is not a happy bunny. He is certainly no fan of the coalition – a view he shares with another former leader and one of those who ousted him, Ming Campbell….
Fieldwork Pollster/publication CON LAB LD 18-20 June ICM / The Guardian 39 31 21 18-20 June Ipsos MORI/Reuter 39 31 19 17-18 June YouGov / Sunday Times 39 34 19 16-17 June ComRes / Indy on Sunday 36 30 23 10-11 June YouGov / Sunday Times 40 32 18 10-11 June BPIX (YouGov) / Mail on Sunday 39 32 19 1-9 June Harris/Metro 36 30 25 28-31 May ComRes / The Independent 37 33 21 21-23 May ICM / The…
Candidate Seat LAB ’05 LAB ’10 Diane Abbott Hackney N & Stoke Newington 49.0% 55.0% Ed Miliband Doncaster North 51.1% 47.3% Andy Burnham Leigh 57.8% 51.3% Ed Balls Morley & Outwood 46.0% 37.6% David Miliband South Shields 60.8% 52.0% Or will it go for the one big winner? Above are the differing performances in their own constituencies of the five Labour hopefuls are the general election on May 6th. This was a day, of course, when the overall GB share…